Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Matúš Vallo at 98.8% in Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner — $31.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.9K.
Leading outcome
Matúš Vallo
99%
A 98.8% price implies roughly a 99-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +8.3 pts7D +3.2 pts30D +12.3 pts
Matúš Vallo98.8%
Person A50.0%
Bid
98¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 31, 2026: 40.5% – 98.7% · Opened at 40.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner
Category
Mayoral, Politics, slovakia, Main Election, Global Elections
Scheduled end
October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$31.2K
Volume (24h)
$5.9K
Liquidity
$81.0K
Markets
34
Leading outcome
Matúš Vallo — 98.8%
Resolution source
https://volby.statistics.sk/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Matúš Vallo, is priced at 98.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.3 pts; past week: +3.2 pts; past month: +12.3 pts.

Since August 31, 2026, Matúš Vallo has traded between 40.5% and 98.7%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 98.7%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202695.5%
Oct 18, 202695.6%
Oct 19, 202695.3%
Oct 20, 202695.2%
Oct 22, 202692.2%
Oct 23, 202690.6%
Oct 24, 202698.7%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Matúš Vallo is favored at 98.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Matúš Vallo99¢98.8%+8.3 pts$17.8K57.2%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Jozef Ráž1¢1.3%-8.2 pts$7.1K22.7%
Martin Winkler0¢0.1%—$2.2K7.1%
Zuzana Šubová0¢0.1%—$7462.4%
Dana Čahojová0¢0.1%—$1.0K3.2%
Ľubomír Geci0¢0.1%-0.5 pts$1.1K3.6%
Miroslav Heredoš0¢0.1%-0.5 pts$1.2K3.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$31.2K has been traded on this event in total, $5.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Resolution source: https://volby.statistics.sk/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,109 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Fat-Fat-HourglassNo2,109$25
0xa5ef39c3…No1,736$21
Recent-WitchhuntYes1,199$1.2K
Delightful-SpotlightYes1,095$1.1K
Dismal-SamuraiNo847$10
Incomplete-ReorganisationYes815$805
Dead-LavaYes511$505
Monstrous-InventionYes500$494
SnowLover7Yes420$415
Awesome-AvailabilityYes302$299

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $522 at 99.9%BUY No — $378 at 99.5%BUY No — $247 at 97.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:57 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$39
Oct 24, 07:02 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL98.3%$10
Oct 24, 07:01 PM ETYesSELL98.1%$10
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETYesSELL97.8%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Matúš Vallo at 98.8%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bratislava-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner?

$31.2K in total volume, with $5.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.

When does Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://volby.statistics.sk/.

What is the most likely outcome of Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Matúš Vallo, priced at 98.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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