As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 5.00-5.49% at 63.0% in Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 — $173.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 5.00-5.49%, is priced at 63.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -9.0 pts; past week: +4.2 pts; past month: +16.6 pts.
Since January 23, 2026, 5.00-5.49% has traded between 1.6% and 73.2%. It opened at 11.5% and last traded at 62.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 62.9% |
5.00-5.49% is favored at 63.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00-5.49% | 63¢ | 63.0% | -9.0 pts | $29.0K | 16.7% |
| 4.50-4.99% | 22¢ | 21.9% | +10.2 pts | $32.9K | 19.0% |
| 5.50-5.99% | 11¢ | 10.9% | -2.5 pts | $21.9K | 12.6% |
| 6.00-6.49% | 3¢ | 2.7% | -0.4 pts | $13.8K | 7.9% |
| 7.00%+ | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.4 pts | $10.6K | 6.1% |
| 4.00-4.49% | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $18.8K | 10.8% |
| 6.50-6.99% | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $11.6K | 6.7% |
| <3.00% | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $10.0K | 5.7% |
| 3.50-3.99% | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $16.2K | 9.3% |
| 3.00-3.49% | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $8.9K | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$173.6K has been traded on this event in total, $3.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report. The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,686 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 6,686 | $2.5K |
| Admirable-Samurai | Yes | 4,201 | $2.6K |
| Inferior-Simplification | Yes | 871 | $548 |
| Silly-Railing | Yes | 400 | $252 |
| Eminent-Fun | Yes | 317 | $200 |
| Wee-Patio | Yes | 290 | $182 |
| Insubstantial-Misunderstand | Yes | 247 | $156 |
| Evil-Row | No | 238 | $88 |
| Glass-Typewriter | Yes | 211 | $133 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 200 | $74 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.4% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.8% | $935 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.4% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.6% | $206 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 31.6% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 31.6% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 5.00-5.49% at 63.0%. Next is 4.50-4.99% at 21.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-annual-inflation-2026?via=bro
$173.6K in total volume, with $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html.
5.00-5.49%, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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