Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 73.0% in Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? — $14.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.3K.
Leading outcome
Yes
73%
A 73.0% price implies roughly a 73-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +4.0 pts
Yes73.0%
No27.0%
Bid
72¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 06, 2026: 55.0% – 91.0% · Opened at 76.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?
Category
World, Brazil, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$14.5K
Volume (24h)
$1.3K
Liquidity
$39.6K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 73.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 73.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.0 pts.

Since October 06, 2026, Yes has traded between 55.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 73.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202687.5%
Oct 18, 202671.0%
Oct 19, 202655.0%
Oct 20, 202662.0%
Oct 22, 202673.0%
Oct 23, 202673.0%
Oct 24, 202673.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 73.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes73¢73.0%—$14.5K100.0%
No27¢27.0%—$14.5K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A presidential election was held in Brazil on October 4, 2026, and a runoff is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate receives 60,346,000 or more valid votes in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, breaking the record for the most votes ever received by a candidate in a Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The current record is 60,345,999 votes, received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election. Exactly 60,345,999 votes would tie, not break, the record and would resolve this market to "No". This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,030 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Careful-WestNo2,030$548
Orange-Whistle-ShoehornNo1,652$446
Strict-CoupleYes1,301$950
Whimsical-TerminalYes779$569
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayNo500$135
Well-To-Do-Win-DividerYes385$281
Inborn-TissueYes235$172
Sardonic-LentilYes208$152
Blond-WrigglerYes161$118
Untrue-AreaYes145$105

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $251 at 28.0%BUY No — $249 at 33.0%SELL Yes — $116 at 72.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:04 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$15
Oct 24, 05:48 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:26 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$37
Oct 24, 03:13 PM ETNoBUY28.0%$251
Oct 24, 03:13 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$2
Oct 24, 03:59 AM ETYesSELL72.0%$116
Oct 24, 03:26 AM ETYesSELL72.0%$3
Oct 24, 02:38 AM ETNoSELL26.0%$0
Oct 24, 01:39 AM ETYesBUY74.0%$5
Oct 23, 10:26 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 73.0%. Next is No at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election-second-round-any-candidate-gets-most-votes-ever?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever??

$14.5K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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