As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Leigh Gray at 97.4% in Brighton Mayoral Election Winner — $3.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Leigh Gray, is priced at 97.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +1.4 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Leigh Gray has traded between 77.5% and 98.8%. It opened at 78.0% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.4% |
Leigh Gray is favored at 97.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh Gray | 97¢ | 97.4% | — | $997 | 32.0% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Phil Owen | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $2.1K | 68.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Brighton Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 257 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 257 | $250 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 171 | $5 |
| Dismal-Moustache | Yes | 170 | $165 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 150 | $146 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 90 | $2 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 60 | $2 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 50 | $1 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 41 | $1 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 40 | $1 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 39 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 10:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 04:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.3% | $58 |
| Sep 30, 07:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 5.9% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 03:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.3% | $1 |
| Sep 22, 03:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $26 |
| Sep 22, 03:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.8% | $1 |
| Sep 22, 03:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.8% | $1 |
| Sep 22, 03:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $54 |
| Sep 22, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $69 |
| Sep 22, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 87.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Leigh Gray at 97.4%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/brighton-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$3.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Leigh Gray, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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