As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Conservative at 87.5% in British Columbia General Election Winner — $150.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Conservative, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.5 pts; past week: +11.5 pts; past month: +44.0 pts.
Since September 23, 2026, Conservative has traded between 31.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 82.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.0% |
Conservative is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 88¢ | 87.5% | -5.5 pts | $76.7K | 50.9% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| NDP | 10¢ | 10.5% | +2.5 pts | $70.2K | 46.6% |
| Greens | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.9K | 1.9% |
| CentreBC | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $441 | 0.3% |
| OneBC | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $464 | 0.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$150.7K has been traded on this event in total, $21.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 35,864 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 35,864 | $4.5K |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 17,405 | $15.2K |
| Present-Mascara | Yes | 9,413 | $8.2K |
| Proud-Molasses | Yes | 5,478 | $4.8K |
| Starry-Snorer | Yes | 2,938 | $2.6K |
| Gullible-Pancreas | Yes | 2,894 | $2.5K |
| Athletic-Curiosity | Yes | 2,537 | $2.2K |
| Basic-Sentence | Yes | 2,144 | $1.9K |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 2,069 | $259 |
| Solid-Porcelain | No | 2,000 | $250 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $150 |
| Oct 24, 07:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $78 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 07:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Conservative at 87.5%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/british-columbia-general-election-winner?via=bro
$150.7K in total volume, with $21.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.
Conservative, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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