As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Andrey Gyurov at 95.3% in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place — $18.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Andrey Gyurov, is priced at 95.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.7 pts; past week: +2.8 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Andrey Gyurov has traded between 86.0% and 95.3%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 95.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.3% |
Andrey Gyurov is favored at 95.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Gyurov | 95¢ | 95.3% | -1.7 pts | $9.4K | 49.7% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $2.4K | 12.9% |
| Iliana Iotova | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.4 pts | $1.2K | 6.4% |
| Nikolai Denkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $643 | 3.4% |
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $614 | 3.3% |
| Boyko Borissov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $470 | 2.5% |
| Vassil Terziev | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $567 | 3.0% |
| Blagomir Kotsev | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $536 | 2.8% |
| Natalia Kiselova | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $414 | 2.2% |
| Yanaki Stoilov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $528 | 2.8% |
| Krum Zarkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $537 | 2.8% |
| Atanas Atanasov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $472 | 2.5% |
| Delyan Peevski | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $643 | 3.4% |
| Rosen Plevneliev | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $425 | 2.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.9K has been traded on this event in total, $990 of it in the last 24 hours, across 41 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,772 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paltry-Smile | Yes | 1,772 | $1.7K |
| Mysterious-Iris | Yes | 1,499 | $1.4K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,041 | $49 |
| Fearful-Independence | Yes | 953 | $908 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea | No | 721 | $34 |
| Hopeful-Laboratory-Cricketer | No | 630 | $30 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 400 | $19 |
| Ordinary-Dress | No | 300 | $14 |
| Essential-Diarist | No | 250 | $12 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 244 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 3.5% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.8% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Andrey Gyurov at 95.3%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place?via=bro
$18.9K in total volume, with $990 traded in the last 24 hours across 41 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Andrey Gyurov, priced at 95.3% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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