As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kostadin Kostadinov at 93.8% in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place — $9.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kostadin Kostadinov, is priced at 93.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +9.8 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Kostadin Kostadinov has traded between 82.5% and 93.5%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 93.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
Kostadin Kostadinov is favored at 93.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 94¢ | 93.8% | +0.4 pts | $5.2K | 57.5% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nikolai Denkov | 4¢ | 4.5% | +1.0 pts | $415 | 4.6% |
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 1¢ | 0.8% | -2.6 pts | $270 | 3.0% |
| Blagomir Kotsev | 1¢ | 0.7% | -3.1 pts | $338 | 3.7% |
| Atanas Atanasov | 1¢ | 0.7% | -3.5 pts | $247 | 2.7% |
| Andrey Gyurov | 0¢ | 0.4% | -1.6 pts | $390 | 4.3% |
| Boyko Borissov | 0¢ | 0.3% | -3.5 pts | $330 | 3.7% |
| Natalia Kiselova | 0¢ | 0.2% | -4.4 pts | $293 | 3.2% |
| Vassil Terziev | 0¢ | 0.1% | -3.3 pts | $292 | 3.2% |
| Iliana Iotova | 0¢ | 0.1% | -2.9 pts | $250 | 2.8% |
| Yanaki Stoilov | 0¢ | 0.1% | -2.1 pts | $246 | 2.7% |
| Krum Zarkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | -3.3 pts | $250 | 2.8% |
| Delyan Peevski | 0¢ | 0.1% | -2.1 pts | $260 | 2.9% |
| Rosen Plevneliev | 0¢ | 0.1% | -3.3 pts | $258 | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 41 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,450 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mysterious-Iris | Yes | 1,450 | $1.4K |
| Belated-Glue | No | 524 | $32 |
| Trustworthy-Faculty | Yes | 500 | $469 |
| Hopeful-Laboratory-Cricketer | No | 440 | $27 |
| Ordinary-Dress | No | 400 | $25 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 328 | $20 |
| Fearful-Independence | Yes | 327 | $307 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 314 | $19 |
| Primary-Agent | No | 224 | $14 |
| Cute-Shear-Lawyer | Yes | 207 | $194 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 8.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.6% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.1% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kostadin Kostadinov at 93.8%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place?via=bro
$9.0K in total volume, with $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 41 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Kostadin Kostadinov, priced at 93.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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