As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Iliana Iotova at 98.4% in Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner — $38.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Iliana Iotova, is priced at 98.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +1.2 pts; past month: +13.4 pts.
Since September 23, 2026, Iliana Iotova has traded between 70.5% and 98.4%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 98.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.4% |
Iliana Iotova is favored at 98.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iliana Iotova | 98¢ | 98.4% | +0.1 pts | $26.4K | 69.1% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrey Gyurov | 1¢ | 1.2% | -0.4 pts | $5.1K | 13.3% |
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $311 | 0.8% |
| Nikolai Denkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $622 | 1.6% |
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $559 | 1.5% |
| Boyko Borissov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $538 | 1.4% |
| Vassil Terziev | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $589 | 1.5% |
| Blagomir Kotsev | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $558 | 1.5% |
| Natalia Kiselova | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $486 | 1.3% |
| Yanaki Stoilov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $693 | 1.8% |
| Krum Zarkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $636 | 1.7% |
| Atanas Atanasov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $646 | 1.7% |
| Delyan Peevski | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $554 | 1.4% |
| Rosen Plevneliev | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $541 | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.3K has been traded on this event in total, $4.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 41 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolution source: https://www.cik.bg/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,399 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Past-Laboratory | No | 4,399 | $70 |
| Unwitting-Salami | Yes | 2,870 | $2.8K |
| Fearful-Independence | Yes | 2,697 | $2.7K |
| Deafening-Clue | No | 2,614 | $42 |
| Jittery-Sweater | No | 2,295 | $37 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,119 | $34 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 1,559 | $1.5K |
| Mysterious-Iris | Yes | 1,500 | $1.5K |
| Essential-Diarist | No | 1,369 | $22 |
| Wobbly-Pants | Yes | 1,127 | $1.1K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Iliana Iotova at 98.4%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-winner?via=bro
$38.3K in total volume, with $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 41 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.cik.bg/.
Iliana Iotova, priced at 98.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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