As of October 24, 2026, 09:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 46.0% in SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 — $66 traded so far.
The leading outcome, 1. FSV Mainz 05, is priced at 46.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +8.5 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, 1. FSV Mainz 05 has traded between 46.0% and 47.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 46.0%.
1. FSV Mainz 05 is favored at 46.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46¢ | 46.0% | -1.0 pts | $9 | 13.6% |
| SV 07 Elversberg | 29¢ | 29.0% | +1.0 pts | $57 | 86.4% |
| Draw (SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05) | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$66 has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 03:30 PM ET.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 30, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 9 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf | Yes | 9 | $4 |
| Frilly-Landing-Truck | No | 9 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 03:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 46.0%. Next is SV 07 Elversberg at 29.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bun-elv-mai-2026-10-30?via=bro
$66 in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 03:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga.
1. FSV Mainz 05, priced at 46.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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