As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price FC Bayern München at 68.5% in SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München — $15.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, FC Bayern München, is priced at 68.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, FC Bayern München has traded between 67.5% and 71.5%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 71.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.5% |
FC Bayern München is favored at 68.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bayern München | 68¢ | 68.5% | -3.0 pts | $8.0K | 50.6% |
| Draw (SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München) | 16¢ | 16.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.3K | 14.6% |
| SC Freiburg | 14¢ | 14.5% | +1.0 pts | $5.5K | 34.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.7K has been traded on this event in total, $12.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,257 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warped-Scholar | No | 1,257 | $396 |
| Grandiose-Collectivization | No | 1,256 | $396 |
| Miserable-Poison | Yes | 1,169 | $800 |
| Sophisticated-Bicycle | No | 1,066 | $336 |
| Weary-Research-Dancing | Yes | 870 | $596 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf | No | 843 | $265 |
| Hospitable-Dame | No | 686 | $216 |
| Whole-Inbox | Yes | 578 | $396 |
| Cautious-Identification | No | 500 | $158 |
| Smoggy-Leeway-Arena | Yes | 410 | $281 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 06:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 06:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $150 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is FC Bayern München at 68.5%. Next is Draw (SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München) at 16.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bun-fre-bay-2026-10-25?via=bro
$15.7K in total volume, with $12.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga.
FC Bayern München, priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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