As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bayern Munich at 99.2% in Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League — $28.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Bayern Munich, is priced at 99.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.5 pts; past week: +2.9 pts; past month: +2.4 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, Bayern Munich has traded between 86.5% and 99.2%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 99.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.2% |
Bayern Munich is favored at 99.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 99¢ | 99.2% | +3.5 pts | $1.7K | 6.0% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 94¢ | 93.9% | +0.4 pts | $2.6K | 9.0% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 90¢ | 90.0% | +10.0 pts | $1.9K | 6.8% |
| RB Leipzig | 55¢ | 55.0% | -6.0 pts | $3.0K | 10.6% |
| SC Freiburg | 30¢ | 30.5% | — | $3.6K | 12.6% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 16¢ | 16.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.4K | 8.6% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 16¢ | 16.0% | -3.5 pts | $8.3K | 29.4% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 8¢ | 8.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.3K | 8.2% |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.7 pts | $279 | 1.0% |
| Union Berlin | 5¢ | 4.8% | +0.5 pts | $99 | 0.3% |
| Hamburger SV | 4¢ | 4.3% | +0.1 pts | $82 | 0.3% |
| SV Elversberg | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.4 pts | $292 | 1.0% |
| FC Augsburg | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.4 pts | $86 | 0.3% |
| Schalke 04 | 3¢ | 3.3% | -3.2 pts | $236 | 0.8% |
| 1. FC Köln | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $438 | 1.5% |
| Werder Bremen | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.1 pts | $143 | 0.5% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2¢ | 2.5% | -1.2 pts | $352 | 1.2% |
| SC Paderborn | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $442 | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.3K has been traded on this event in total, $1.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 257 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Irresponsible-Theory-Lava | Yes | 257 | $255 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 144 | $143 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 112 | $1 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 95 | $1 |
| Unfinished-Tadpole-Driveway | No | 76 | $1 |
| Vital-Diversity | Yes | 71 | $70 |
| Required-Horn | No | 50 | $0 |
| Immaterial-Secretariat | Yes | 49 | $49 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 47 | $0 |
| Warm-Pupa | No | 44 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 11:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 10:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.3% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 10:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 10:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 59.7% | $86 |
| Oct 23, 11:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 04:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bayern Munich at 99.2%. Next is Borussia Dortmund at 93.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-team-to-qualify-for-the-2027-28-uefa-champions-league?via=bro
$28.3K in total volume, with $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Bayern Munich, priced at 99.2% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.