As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Werder Bremen at 50.5% in Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League — $7.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Werder Bremen, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +12.5 pts; past month: +30.0 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, Werder Bremen has traded between 5.0% and 50.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
Werder Bremen is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $362 | 4.8% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $40 | 0.5% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| SC Freiburg | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Augsburg | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Union Berlin | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Schalke 04 | 50¢ | 49.7% | -0.5 pts | $66 | 0.9% |
| 1. FC Köln | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $117 | 1.6% |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 48¢ | 47.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 24¢ | 24.0% | -1.0 pts | $439 | 5.8% |
| RB Leipzig | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $2.3K | 29.9% |
| Hamburger SV | 14¢ | 14.4% | +9.3 pts | $79 | 1.0% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 14¢ | 14.0% | -2.5 pts | $167 | 2.2% |
| SC Paderborn | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $989 | 13.1% |
| SV Elversberg | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.2 pts | $642 | 8.5% |
| Bayern Munich | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.1 pts | $2.4K | 31.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 97¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position or winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Conference League place. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Conference League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Conference League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 20 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $10 |
| Lumbering-Propane | Yes | 15 | $8 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 5 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 10:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $28 |
| Oct 17, 03:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $21 |
| Oct 17, 03:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $7 |
| Oct 17, 03:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $20 |
| Oct 16, 02:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 09:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 11:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 08:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $41 |
| Oct 05, 08:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $95 |
| Oct 05, 05:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Werder Bremen at 50.5%. Next is Bayer Leverkusen at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-team-to-qualify-for-the-2027-28-uefa-conference-league?via=bro
$7.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Werder Bremen, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.