As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price FSV Mainz 05 at 29.0% in Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League — $28.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, FSV Mainz 05, is priced at 29.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +12.5 pts; past month: +16.0 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, FSV Mainz 05 has traded between 11.0% and 50.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 29.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 16.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 29.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 29.0% |
FSV Mainz 05 is favored at 29.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 29¢ | 29.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Union Berlin | 24¢ | 23.5% | +9.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Augsburg | 22¢ | 22.0% | +7.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 22¢ | 21.9% | +6.4 pts | $2.3K | 8.3% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 16¢ | 16.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| SV Elversberg | 16¢ | 16.3% | +1.1 pts | $1.6K | 5.7% |
| SC Freiburg | 16¢ | 16.0% | +3.0 pts | $2.6K | 9.4% |
| Schalke 04 | 14¢ | 13.5% | +2.0 pts | $240 | 0.9% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13¢ | 13.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| RB Leipzig | 12¢ | 12.0% | -8.0 pts | $3.9K | 14.1% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12¢ | 11.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.3K | 4.5% |
| Werder Bremen | 10¢ | 10.0% | +0.5 pts | $80 | 0.3% |
| 1. FC Köln | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $1.2K | 4.3% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 6¢ | 6.5% | +2.5 pts | $1.3K | 4.8% |
| SC Paderborn | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.4 pts | $292 | 1.0% |
| Bayern Munich | 5¢ | 5.2% | -0.2 pts | $3.4K | 12.0% |
| Hamburger SV | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.2 pts | $113 | 0.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2¢ | 2.1% | -12.4 pts | $9.6K | 34.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 44¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.0K has been traded on this event in total, $531 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". … (condensed)
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 11:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.8% | $55 |
| Oct 23, 07:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 07:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.6% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 06:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is FSV Mainz 05 at 29.0%. Next is Union Berlin at 23.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-team-to-qualify-for-the-2027-28-uefa-europa-league?via=bro
$28.0K in total volume, with $531 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
FSV Mainz 05, priced at 29.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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