As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bayern Munich at 96.5% in Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27) — $11.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Bayern Munich, is priced at 96.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.7 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, Bayern Munich has traded between 93.5% and 99.4%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 96.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.5% |
Bayern Munich is favored at 96.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 96¢ | 96.5% | — | $931 | 8.5% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 86¢ | 85.5% | -1.0 pts | $240 | 2.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $568 | 5.2% |
| Mainz 05 | 49¢ | 49.0% | +6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| SV Elversberg | 49¢ | 49.0% | +1.5 pts | $116 | 1.1% |
| 1. FC Köln | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| RB Leipzig | 42¢ | 41.5% | -17.5 pts | $857 | 7.8% |
| SC Freiburg | 42¢ | 41.5% | +0.5 pts | $386 | 3.5% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hamburger SV | 17¢ | 17.0% | -2.0 pts | $3.7K | 33.6% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $162 | 1.5% |
| Werder Bremen | 14¢ | 13.6% | +1.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| FC Augsburg | 13¢ | 12.6% | — | $60 | 0.5% |
| Schalke 04 | 10¢ | 9.7% | +0.1 pts | $1.6K | 14.9% |
| Union Berlin | 6¢ | 6.0% | +1.8 pts | $458 | 4.2% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| SC Paderborn | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K | 12.8% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $470 | 4.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.0K has been traded on this event in total, $34 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 05, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Bundesliga as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 287 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 287 | $277 |
| Unfinished-Tadpole-Driveway | No | 108 | $4 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 101 | $4 |
| Required-Horn | No | 38 | $1 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 20 | $1 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse | No | 20 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 08:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.1% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 02:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $78 |
| Oct 16, 06:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 07:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.7% | $93 |
| Oct 14, 12:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.6% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 01:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.6% | $19 |
| Oct 12, 01:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.4% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 01:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.1% | $4 |
| Oct 11, 01:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 12:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.1% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bayern Munich at 96.5%. Next is Bayer Leverkusen at 85.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-top-4-finishers-2026-27?via=bro
$11.0K in total volume, with $34 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 05, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Bayern Munich, priced at 96.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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