As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Marianne Meed Ward at 66.0% in Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $16.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Marianne Meed Ward, is priced at 66.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +12.5 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Marianne Meed Ward has traded between 53.5% and 77.5%. It opened at 62.0% and last traded at 66.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.5% |
Marianne Meed Ward is favored at 66.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianne Meed Ward | 66¢ | 66.0% | +0.5 pts | $8.3K | 51.8% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rory Nisan | 12¢ | 12.5% | -8.5 pts | $5.4K | 33.9% |
| Lisa Kearns | 8¢ | 7.6% | +1.8 pts | $1.1K | 6.8% |
| Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee | 5¢ | 4.6% | +1.1 pts | $759 | 4.7% |
| Keith Demoe | 4¢ | 3.9% | +1.2 pts | $458 | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 67¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.1K has been traded on this event in total, $74 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 910 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 910 | $309 |
| Unwelcome-Disadvantage | Yes | 411 | $271 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 192 | $126 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 180 | $119 |
| Helpful-Cheese | No | 160 | $54 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 117 | $77 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 80 | $53 |
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 65 | $43 |
| Required-Horn | No | 60 | $20 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 53 | $18 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.8% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Marianne Meed Ward at 66.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/burlington-mayoral-election-winner?via=bro
$16.1K in total volume, with $74 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Marianne Meed Ward, priced at 66.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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