Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Paul Choi at 65.0% in Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner — $4.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $676.
Leading outcome
Paul Choi
65%
A 65.0% price implies roughly a 65-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +27.5 pts7D +22.5 pts
Paul Choi65.0%
Person A50.0%
Bid
33¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
64¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 08, 2026: 30.5% – 56.5% · Opened at 50.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Category
World, Canada, Politics, Elections, World Elections, British Columbia, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$4.1K
Volume (24h)
$676
Liquidity
$20.8K
Markets
31
Leading outcome
Paul Choi — 65.0%
Resolution source
https://elections.bc.ca/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Paul Choi, is priced at 65.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +27.5 pts; past week: +22.5 pts.

Since October 08, 2026, Paul Choi has traded between 30.5% and 56.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 46.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202640.0%
Oct 16, 202642.5%
Oct 18, 202630.5%
Oct 19, 202642.0%
Oct 20, 202634.5%
Oct 23, 202639.5%
Oct 24, 202646.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Paul Choi is favored at 65.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Paul Choi65¢65.0%+27.5 pts$1.9K47.2%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
David Xie34¢34.0%-20.0 pts$1.1K27.4%
Andrew Rose1¢1.4%-0.1 pts$42110.2%
Bryan Fockler0¢0.3%-0.7 pts$62715.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 64¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$4.1K has been traded on this event in total, $676 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 335 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Athletic-CuriosityYes335$218
0xa5ef39c3…No259$91
mrworldwideNo150$52
Belated-GlueNo122$43
Gleaming-HandlebarYes58$38
Skeletal-LiverYes54$35
0x93934bd9…Yes47$31
Partial-ConstellationYes44$29
Direct-ChainstayYes40$26
Rowdy-TenementNo30$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $105 at 49.9%BUY No — $62 at 50.0%BUY No — $61 at 90.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:03 PM ETYesBUY63.0%$5
Oct 24, 05:03 PM ETNoBUY62.0%$5
Oct 24, 05:02 PM ETYesBUY61.7%$27
Oct 24, 05:02 PM ETNoBUY62.0%$19
Oct 24, 05:02 PM ETNoBUY99.8%$30
Oct 24, 03:36 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$12
Oct 24, 11:01 AM ETYesBUY55.0%$1
Oct 24, 11:01 AM ETNoBUY49.0%$5
Oct 24, 11:01 AM ETNoBUY50.0%$62
Oct 24, 11:01 AM ETYesBUY49.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Paul Choi at 65.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/burnaby-south-metrotown-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner?

$4.1K in total volume, with $676 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.

When does Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.

What is the most likely outcome of Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Paul Choi, priced at 65.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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