As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Angela Gonzales-Torres at 76.5% in CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual) — $34.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Angela Gonzales-Torres, is priced at 76.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, Angela Gonzales-Torres has traded between 31.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 76.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.5% |
Angela Gonzales-Torres is favored at 76.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Gonzales-Torres | 76¢ | 76.5% | -1.0 pts | $13.3K | 38.5% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Gomez | 24¢ | 23.5% | +3.0 pts | $21.3K | 61.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$34.6K has been traded on this event in total, $45 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,087 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detailed-Challenge | Yes | 3,087 | $2.4K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,025 | $711 |
| Sticky-Tabernacle-Nursery | No | 952 | $224 |
| Pristine-Business | Yes | 805 | $616 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 514 | $393 |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 420 | $99 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 385 | $91 |
| Those-Skywalk | Yes | 211 | $161 |
| Whimsical-Seller | Yes | 199 | $152 |
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 123 | $94 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 11:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 03:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 03:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 07:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 07:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 07:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Angela Gonzales-Torres at 76.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ca-34-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020736883?via=bro
$34.6K in total volume, with $45 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.fec.gov/.
Angela Gonzales-Torres, priced at 76.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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