As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sydney Kamlager-Dove at 95.4% in CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual) — $54.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Sydney Kamlager-Dove, is priced at 95.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.4 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, Sydney Kamlager-Dove has traded between 87.5% and 96.9%. It opened at 88.5% and last traded at 95.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.4% |
Sydney Kamlager-Dove is favored at 95.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove | 95¢ | 95.4% | — | $53.3K | 98.2% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mota | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.1 pts | $970 | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$54.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,851 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold | Yes | 3,851 | $3.7K |
| Prime-Door | Yes | 2,059 | $2.0K |
| Attached-Schedule | No | 1,300 | $60 |
| Charming-Grape | No | 1,269 | $58 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 528 | $24 |
| Careful-Bunch | No | 469 | $22 |
| Whimsical-Seller | No | 392 | $18 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 319 | $15 |
| Prestigious-Zephyr-Jail | No | 312 | $14 |
| Evil-Row | No | 266 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 09:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.5% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.4% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 09:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.5% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 09:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.4% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 05:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.3% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 12:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 95.6% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.5% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 10:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.6% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.4% | $19 |
| Oct 21, 10:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.5% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sydney Kamlager-Dove at 95.4%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ca-37-house-election-winner-individual-20260710020839627?via=bro
$54.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.fec.gov/.
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, priced at 95.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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