As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3,124.5+ passing yards at 79.5% in Pro Football: Caleb Williams 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards — $4.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3,124.5+ passing yards, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.5 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, 3,124.5+ passing yards has traded between 20.5% and 83.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.5% |
3,124.5+ passing yards is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,124.5+ passing yards | 80¢ | 79.5% | — | $351 | 7.9% |
| 3,374.5+ passing yards | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $505 | 11.4% |
| 3,624.5+ passing yards | 28¢ | 28.5% | -0.5 pts | $798 | 18.0% |
| 3,874.5+ passing yards | 8¢ | 7.6% | — | $1.6K | 35.3% |
| 4,124.5+ passing yards | 2¢ | 1.9% | +0.3 pts | $1.2K | 27.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Caleb Williams records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,124.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Caleb Williams does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Caleb Williams recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 62 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 62 | $49 |
| Sniveling-Raincoat | No | 60 | $12 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 20 | $4 |
| 0x6b083bf2… | No | 20 | $4 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | No | 20 | $4 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 3 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 10:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 04:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.7% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 11:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.5% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 08:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 08:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 19, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.2% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 08:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.5% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 05:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.8% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 08:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $9 |
| Oct 14, 05:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3,124.5+ passing yards at 79.5%. Next is 3,374.5+ passing yards at 58.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/caleb-williams-passing-yards-2026-27?via=bro
$4.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
3,124.5+ passing yards, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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