As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 50.5% in California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition — $2.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +15.0 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, No has traded between 28.0% and 61.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
No is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 50¢ | 50.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 50¢ | 49.5% | +1.5 pts | $2.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 48¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.2K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.sos.ca.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 208 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 208 | $105 |
| Winged-Holder | Yes | 203 | $100 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | No | 127 | $64 |
| Demanding-City | No | 115 | $58 |
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 81 | $40 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 71 | $35 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 63 | $31 |
| Expensive-Arrow-Nightclub | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Spicy-Acrylic | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Present-Knickers-Desire | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 06:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 53.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 07:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 01:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 12:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $29 |
| Oct 22, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.5% | $39 |
| Oct 21, 08:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 02:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 50.5%. Next is Yes at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/california-expedited-environmental-review-proposition?via=bro
$2.2K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
No, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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