As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $20M at 69.0% in Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $162.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $20M, is priced at 69.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: +8.0 pts.
Since March 02, 2026, $20M has traded between 45.0% and 87.0%. It opened at 68.5% and last traded at 69.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.0% |
$20M is favored at 69.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 69¢ | 69.0% | -3.5 pts | $66.7K | 41.1% |
| $30M | 52¢ | 52.5% | -3.0 pts | $33.3K | 20.5% |
| $40M | 35¢ | 35.0% | -6.5 pts | $13.9K | 8.6% |
| $50M | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $11.4K | 7.0% |
| $70M | 8¢ | 8.5% | -1.0 pts | $8.2K | 5.1% |
| $100M | 8¢ | 8.5% | -3.0 pts | $10.6K | 6.5% |
| $200M | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.1 pts | $14.0K | 8.6% |
| $150M | 3¢ | 3.1% | -0.2 pts | $4.4K | 2.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 70¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$162.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/playcambria
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,057 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glaring-Step | No | 5,057 | $1.6K |
| Icy-Conviction | No | 3,003 | $931 |
| Fluffy-Vignette | No | 2,653 | $822 |
| Heavy-Fiction | Yes | 2,550 | $1.8K |
| Inexperienced-Tail | Yes | 1,626 | $1.1K |
| Double-Snack | Yes | 1,540 | $1.1K |
| Cool-Wrap | Yes | 1,121 | $774 |
| Sweet-Carrier | Yes | 900 | $621 |
| Witty-Dock | Yes | 722 | $499 |
| Paltry-Baker | No | 550 | $170 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.0% | $172 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 30.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 70.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 01:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 11:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $20M at 69.0%. Next is $30M at 52.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cambria-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$162.5K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/playcambria.
$20M, priced at 69.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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