As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus at 76.0% in Campeche Governor Election Winner — $28.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus, is priced at 76.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +8.5 pts; past month: -13.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus has traded between 6.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 21.5% and last traded at 76.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.5% |
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus is favored at 76.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus | 76¢ | 76.0% | +0.5 pts | $11.7K | 40.5% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Eliseo Fernández Montúfar | 14¢ | 14.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K | 4.1% |
| Carlos Ucán Yam | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $648 | 2.2% |
| Aníbal Ostoa Ortega | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $822 | 2.9% |
| Daniel Barreda Pavón | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $661 | 2.3% |
| Salvador Farías González | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $656 | 2.3% |
| Biby Rabelo de la Torre | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $644 | 2.2% |
| Paul Arce Ontiveros | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $617 | 2.1% |
| Christian Castro Bello | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $659 | 2.3% |
| Liz Hernández Romero | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $623 | 2.2% |
| Armando Toledo Jamit | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $721 | 2.5% |
| Rocío Abreu Artiñano | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $663 | 2.3% |
| Andrés Fernández del Valle | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $653 | 2.3% |
| Ricardo Medina Farfán | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $650 | 2.3% |
| Ariana Rejón Lara | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $684 | 2.4% |
| Pablo Angulo Briceño | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $621 | 2.2% |
| Emilio Lara Calderón | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $677 | 2.3% |
| Francisco Farías Bailón | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $677 | 2.3% |
| Yolanda Valladares Valle | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $595 | 2.1% |
| Martina Kantún Can | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $712 | 2.5% |
| Gerardo Sánchez Sansores | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $660 | 2.3% |
| Nelly Márquez Zapata | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $621 | 2.2% |
| Dulce Dorantes Cervera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $695 | 2.4% |
| Laura Baqueiro Ramos | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $670 | 2.3% |
| Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $682 | 2.4% |
| Rosario Cruz Hernández | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $688 | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 53 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,512 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgaron | Yes | 2,512 | $1.9K |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 1,149 | $276 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 634 | $152 |
| Known-Use | No | 375 | $90 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 62 | $15 |
| Sardonic-Caper | No | 60 | $15 |
| Spicy-Acrylic | No | 50 | $12 |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 46 | $11 |
| Multicolored-Casserole | No | 30 | $7 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 29 | $22 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 06:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 01:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.5% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 03:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.9% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.4% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 04:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 05:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $8 |
| Oct 16, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $17 |
| Oct 14, 08:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus at 76.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/campeche-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$28.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 53 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus, priced at 76.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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