Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3.0-3.4% at 39.8% in Canada Annual Inflation 2026 — $69.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $60.
Leading outcome
3.0-3.4%
40%
A 39.8% price implies roughly a 40-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.4 pts7D +1.4 pts30D +3.5 pts
3.0-3.4%39.8%
3.5-3.9%21.9%
Bid
39¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 22, 2026: 1.6% – 49.3% · Opened at 24.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
Category
Recurring, Macro Indicators, Economy, Canada, CPI, Inflation
Scheduled end
January 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$69.0K
Volume (24h)
$60
Liquidity
$6.1K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
3.0-3.4% — 39.8%
Resolution source
https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 3.0-3.4%, is priced at 39.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: +1.4 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.

Since January 22, 2026, 3.0-3.4% has traded between 1.6% and 49.3%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 39.8%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202638.4%
Oct 18, 202640.6%
Oct 19, 202638.2%
Oct 20, 202637.9%
Oct 22, 202640.2%
Oct 23, 202640.2%
Oct 24, 202639.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

3.0-3.4% is favored at 39.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
3.0-3.4%40¢39.8%-0.4 pts$17.8K25.9%
3.5-3.9%22¢21.9%—$12.7K18.5%
2.5–2.9%20¢19.8%+0.9 pts$20.2K29.2%
2.0–2.4%9¢8.6%+0.4 pts$3.9K5.7%
1.0–1.4%5¢4.8%—$6.5K9.4%
1.5–1.9%2¢2.2%+1.1 pts$4.3K6.3%
4.0%+2¢1.7%—$1.4K2.1%
<1.0%1¢0.8%—$2.0K3.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 41¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$69.0K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,054 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,054$635
Equal-BrassYes311$124
Wan-GymnasticsYes197$78
Awesome-AvailabilityYes162$64
Fair-TanYes98$39
Known-UseNo86$52
Evil-RowYes78$31
Candid-EncirclementYes60$24
Belated-GlueYes42$17
0x46299616…Yes30$12

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $434 at 57.2%BUY No — $278 at 89.7%BUY No — $151 at 83.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:08 AM ETNoSELL58.9%$4
Oct 24, 06:01 AM ETYesBUY19.8%$1
Oct 24, 06:01 AM ETYesBUY19.9%$1
Oct 24, 06:00 AM ETNoSELL80.3%$4
Oct 23, 04:39 PM ETYesSELL21.8%$16
Oct 23, 09:35 AM ETYesSELL21.8%$5
Oct 22, 10:10 PM ETYesSELL21.8%$4
Oct 22, 06:30 AM ETYesSELL21.8%$3
Oct 22, 04:35 AM ETYesBUY24.8%$2
Oct 22, 04:35 AM ETNoSELL76.5%$15

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Canada Annual Inflation 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3.0-3.4% at 39.8%. Next is 3.5-3.9% at 21.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/canada-annual-inflation-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Canada Annual Inflation 2026?

$69.0K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does Canada Annual Inflation 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end January 18, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start.

What is the most likely outcome of Canada Annual Inflation 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

3.0-3.4%, priced at 39.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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