As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.5% in Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026? — $122 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since September 22, 2026, No has traded between 82.0% and 94.0%. It opened at 82.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.0% |
No is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 93.5% | -0.5 pts | $122 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $122 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$122 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On June 10, 2026, the Government of Canada introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, which would bar Canadians under the age of 16 from holding social media accounts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 122 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tremendous-Mail | No | 122 | $114 |
| Sophisticated-Tugboat | Yes | 100 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 22 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 08:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $94 |
| Sep 23, 02:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.5%. Next is Yes at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/canada-passes-under-16-social-media-ban-in-2026?via=bro
$122 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34.
No, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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