Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.5% in Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026? — $122 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
94%
A 93.5% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts30D −1.0 pts
No93.5%
Yes6.5%
Bid
4¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
5¢
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Range since September 22, 2026: 82.0% – 94.0% · Opened at 82.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Category
Canada, Politics
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$122
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.1K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 93.5%
Resolution source
https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.

Since September 22, 2026, No has traded between 82.0% and 94.0%. It opened at 82.0% and last traded at 94.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202693.0%
Oct 16, 202693.5%
Oct 18, 202693.5%
Oct 19, 202693.5%
Oct 20, 202693.5%
Oct 22, 202693.5%
Oct 23, 202694.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 93.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No94¢93.5%-0.5 pts$122100.0%
Yes6¢6.5%+0.5 pts$122100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$122 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

On June 10, 2026, the Government of Canada introduced Bill C-34, the Safe Social Media Act, which would bar Canadians under the age of 16 from holding social media accounts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill C-34, or any other federal bill that prohibits people under the age of 16 from holding accounts on social media platforms, receives Royal Assent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Royal Assent is required. Passage by the House of Commons or the Senate alone, committee approval, or a government announcement will not count. A bill counts if its general rule bars people under 16 from holding accounts, even if it allows exemptions, for example for platforms that meet safety standards set by a regulator or for accounts opened with parental consent. A bill whose general rule applies only to people under age 15 does not count. Whether the law has come into force by the deadline will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Provincial legislation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Parliament of Canada's LEGISinfo record for Bill C-34, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 122 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Tremendous-MailNo122$114
Sophisticated-TugboatYes100$6
Belated-GlueYes22$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $94 at 94.0%BUY No — $21 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Sep 25, 08:23 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$94
Sep 23, 02:29 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$21

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.5%. Next is Yes at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/canada-passes-under-16-social-media-ban-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026??

$122 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-34.

What is the most likely outcome of Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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