Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 67.0% in Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? — $73.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
67%
A 67.0% price implies roughly a 67-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D −1.5 pts30D +6.5 pts
No67.0%
Yes33.0%
Bid
23¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
20¢
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Range since November 05, 2025: 37.0% – 90.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Category
Fiscal, Taxes, Politics, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$73.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.6K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 67.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 67.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.

Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 37.0% and 90.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 66.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202667.0%
Oct 16, 202664.5%
Oct 18, 202667.5%
Oct 19, 202666.5%
Oct 20, 202667.0%
Oct 23, 202667.5%
Oct 24, 202666.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 67.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No67¢67.0%-0.5 pts$73.1K100.0%
Yes33¢33.0%+0.5 pts$73.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 20¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 43¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$73.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 873 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Delicious-ClassNo873$585
Clear-ScreenwritingYes841$277
Tense-FortNo600$402
GluedNo466$312
Ordinary-ConfectioneryNo426$286
Short-Term-CriminalYes343$113
Earnest-ShampooYes265$87
Infatuated-DevastationYes246$81
0x96abb606…Yes234$77
Super-StationNo220$148

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $34 at 24.0%SELL No — $32 at 60.1%SELL No — $31 at 85.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 11:34 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$8
Oct 20, 05:21 AM ETYesSELL21.0%$24
Oct 19, 05:18 AM ETYesBUY24.0%$34
Oct 19, 04:12 AM ETNoSELL53.0%$6
Oct 19, 04:11 AM ETNoBUY79.0%$8
Oct 12, 02:32 PM ETYesBUY19.0%$3
Oct 12, 04:10 AM ETNoSELL72.0%$17
Oct 12, 03:58 AM ETYesSELL18.0%$3
Oct 09, 06:11 AM ETYesBUY15.0%$11
Oct 07, 11:53 PM ETNoSELL85.0%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 67.0%. Next is Yes at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cap-on-gambling-loss-deductions-repealed-before-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027??

$73.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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