As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price José Maria Neves at 83.5% in Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner — $33.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, José Maria Neves, is priced at 83.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, José Maria Neves has traded between 67.0% and 86.5%. It opened at 67.0% and last traded at 83.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.5% |
José Maria Neves is favored at 83.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Maria Neves | 84¢ | 83.5% | +1.5 pts | $23.4K | 69.0% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Joana Rosa | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $3.4K | 10.0% |
| Janine Lélis | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $3.4K | 9.9% |
| Casimiro de Pina | 2¢ | 1.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.0K | 3.1% |
| Péricles Tavares | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $1.2K | 3.6% |
| Milton Paiva | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $838 | 2.5% |
| Fernando Delgado | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $688 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$33.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Resolution source: https://cne.cv/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,685 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Sycamore | Yes | 2,685 | $2.2K |
| Chubby-Prior | No | 1,234 | $204 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,069 | $176 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 1,000 | $165 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 939 | $155 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 832 | $695 |
| Rubbery-Festival | Yes | 829 | $693 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 575 | $480 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor | No | 500 | $82 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 230 | $192 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 05:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 01:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 05:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 05:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 01:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 01:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 01:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.6% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 01:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.8% | $173 |
| Oct 20, 11:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is José Maria Neves at 83.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cape-verde-presidential-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$33.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://cne.cv/.
José Maria Neves, priced at 83.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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