As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 90.0% in Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +9.0 pts; past week: +5.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 54.0% and 90.0%. It opened at 75.0% and last traded at 90.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.0% |
Yes is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90¢ | 90.0% | +9.0 pts | $1.3K | 100.0% |
| No | 10¢ | 10.0% | -9.0 pts | $1.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $597 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Caterpillar is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Caterpillar’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $7.15 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caterpillar reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $7.15 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Caterpillar releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CAT/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 742 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Festival | Yes | 742 | $667 |
| Frosty-Funding | No | 283 | $28 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 200 | $20 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | No | 50 | $5 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 34 | $3 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 23 | $2 |
| Scaly-Assault-Alarm | No | 22 | $2 |
| Sunny-Smoking | No | 20 | $2 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $2 |
| Anxious-Sample-Precedent | No | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 10:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.4% | $338 |
| Oct 23, 10:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $85 |
| Oct 23, 10:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $42 |
| Oct 23, 06:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 15.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 07:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.5% | $138 |
| Oct 21, 06:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 06:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 11:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $95 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 90.0%. Next is No at 10.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cat-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-29-2026-7pt15?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $597 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CAT/earnings.
Yes, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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