As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 97.9% in Central Bank of Chile decision in October — $14.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +1.7 pts.
Since October 06, 2026, No change has traded between 60.5% and 97.9%. It opened at 60.5% and last traded at 97.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.9% |
No change is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 98¢ | 97.9% | +0.2 pts | $12.3K | 84.3% |
| 25 bps increase | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.1 pts | $298 | 2.0% |
| 25 bps decrease | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.9 pts | $1.0K | 6.9% |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $642 | 4.4% |
| 50+ bps increase | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $333 | 2.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.6K has been traded on this event in total, $38 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Chile (Banco Central de Chile), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Chile, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Chile calendar (https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Chile resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,047 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 2,047 | $2.0K |
| Grim-Garage | No | 1,403 | $29 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 957 | $20 |
| Intelligent-Musician | Yes | 685 | $671 |
| Gummy-Casserole | Yes | 300 | $294 |
| Serious-Authority | No | 216 | $5 |
| 0x7874f44a… | No | 214 | $5 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 182 | $4 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 160 | $157 |
| Fluid-Resource | Yes | 154 | $151 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 08:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.9% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 10:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.1% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.9% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 10:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.4% | $30 |
| Oct 22, 10:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 01:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $163 |
| Oct 22, 01:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.9% | $33 |
| Oct 21, 08:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.9% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 97.9%. Next is 25 bps increase at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-chile-decision-in-october-2026?via=bro
$14.6K in total volume, with $38 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 08:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera.
No change, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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