Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Central Bank of Chile decision in October

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 97.9% in Central Bank of Chile decision in October — $14.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $38.
Leading outcome
No change
98%
A 97.9% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.2 pts7D +1.7 pts
No change97.9%
25 bps increase1.8%
Bid
97¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 06, 2026: 60.5% – 97.9% · Opened at 60.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Central Bank of Chile decision in October
Category
Economy, Recurring, Global Rates
Scheduled end
October 26, 2026, 08:00 PM ET
Total volume
$14.6K
Volume (24h)
$38
Liquidity
$6.9K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
No change — 97.9%
Resolution source
https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 97.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +1.7 pts.

Since October 06, 2026, No change has traded between 60.5% and 97.9%. It opened at 60.5% and last traded at 97.9%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202693.5%
Oct 18, 202696.5%
Oct 19, 202696.4%
Oct 20, 202696.4%
Oct 23, 202696.6%
Oct 24, 202697.9%
Oct 24, 202697.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No change is favored at 97.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No change98¢97.9%+0.2 pts$12.3K84.3%
25 bps increase2¢1.8%+0.1 pts$2982.0%
25 bps decrease0¢0.4%-0.9 pts$1.0K6.9%
50+ bps decrease0¢0.1%—$6424.4%
50+ bps increase0¢0.1%—$3332.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.6K has been traded on this event in total, $38 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Chile (Banco Central de Chile), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Chile, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Chile calendar (https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Chile resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,047 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Primary-AgentYes2,047$2.0K
Grim-GarageNo1,403$29
Belated-GlueNo957$20
Intelligent-MusicianYes685$671
Gummy-CasseroleYes300$294
Serious-AuthorityNo216$5
0x7874f44a…No214$5
Snappy-RoosterNo182$4
Powerless-BijouYes160$157
Fluid-ResourceYes154$151

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $294 at 94.0%BUY No — $196 at 96.9%BUY No — $163 at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 02:29 PM ETYesSELL0.2%$0
Oct 23, 08:00 PM ETNoSELL3.1%$0
Oct 23, 04:58 PM ETYesBUY96.9%$20
Oct 23, 10:23 AM ETNoBUY3.1%$0
Oct 22, 11:12 AM ETNoBUY2.9%$2
Oct 22, 10:13 AM ETYesSELL97.4%$30
Oct 22, 10:11 AM ETNoBUY2.5%$0
Oct 22, 01:43 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$163
Oct 22, 01:41 AM ETYesBUY96.9%$33
Oct 21, 08:15 PM ETYesBUY96.9%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Central Bank of Chile decision in October?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 97.9%. Next is 25 bps increase at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-chile-decision-in-october-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Central Bank of Chile decision in October?

$14.6K in total volume, with $38 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Central Bank of Chile decision in October end?

The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 08:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera.

What is the most likely outcome of Central Bank of Chile decision in October, according to Polymarket traders?

No change, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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