As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 71.5% in Central Bank of Colombia decision in December — $14.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 71.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +15.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No change has traded between 44.0% and 71.5%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 70.5%.
No change is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 72¢ | 71.5% | +3.0 pts | $5.0K | 34.5% |
| 50+ bps increase | 15¢ | 14.6% | +0.2 pts | $4.9K | 34.1% |
| 25 bps increase | 11¢ | 11.2% | -0.5 pts | $2.9K | 20.0% |
| 50+ bps decrease | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $941 | 6.5% |
| 25 bps decrease | 3¢ | 2.7% | — | $697 | 4.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 67¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.4K has been traded on this event in total, $330 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 578 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 578 | $165 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 398 | $285 |
| Whimsical-Plaster-Celsius | Yes | 141 | $101 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 139 | $99 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 116 | $33 |
| Required-Tactics | Yes | 112 | $80 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 89 | $25 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 75 | $54 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 75 | $54 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 52 | $37 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.6% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.3% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.2% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.8% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.2% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 71.5%. Next is 50+ bps increase at 14.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-december-2026?via=bro
$14.4K in total volume, with $330 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
No change, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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