Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Central Bank of Colombia decision in December

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 71.5% in Central Bank of Colombia decision in December — $14.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $330.
Leading outcome
No change
72%
A 71.5% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.0 pts7D +15.0 pts
No change71.5%
50+ bps increase14.6%
Bid
67¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
9¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 16, 2026: 44.0% – 71.5% · Opened at 44.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
Category
Economy, Colombia, Recurring, Global Rates
Scheduled end
December 17, 2026, 07:00 PM ET
Total volume
$14.4K
Volume (24h)
$330
Liquidity
$1.7K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
No change — 71.5%
Resolution source
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 71.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +15.0 pts.

Since October 16, 2026, No change has traded between 44.0% and 71.5%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 70.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No change is favored at 71.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No change72¢71.5%+3.0 pts$5.0K34.5%
50+ bps increase15¢14.6%+0.2 pts$4.9K34.1%
25 bps increase11¢11.2%-0.5 pts$2.9K20.0%
50+ bps decrease3¢2.9%-0.1 pts$9416.5%
25 bps decrease3¢2.7%—$6974.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 67¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.4K has been traded on this event in total, $330 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 578 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No578$165
Awesome-AvailabilityYes398$285
Whimsical-Plaster-CelsiusYes141$101
Fair-TanYes139$99
Belated-GlueNo116$33
Required-TacticsYes112$80
Direct-ChainstayNo89$25
Gleaming-HandlebarYes75$54
Evil-RowYes75$54
Perfumed-MoatYes52$37

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $523 at 66.6%SELL Yes — $189 at 69.0%SELL Yes — $76 at 76.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:52 PM ETYesBUY15.6%$3
Oct 24, 07:52 PM ETYesBUY13.3%$5
Oct 24, 07:51 PM ETYesBUY66.0%$28
Oct 24, 05:56 PM ETYesSELL11.2%$2
Oct 24, 05:14 PM ETYesSELL12.2%$3
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETYesSELL12.2%$0
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETNoBUY87.8%$13
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETYesSELL12.2%$1
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETYesSELL12.2%$0
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETYesSELL12.2%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Central Bank of Colombia decision in December?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 71.5%. Next is 50+ bps increase at 14.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-december-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Central Bank of Colombia decision in December?

$14.4K in total volume, with $330 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Central Bank of Colombia decision in December end?

The market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

What is the most likely outcome of Central Bank of Colombia decision in December, according to Polymarket traders?

No change, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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