As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 53.5% in Central Bank of Colombia decision in October — $56.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since September 11, 2026, No change has traded between 33.5% and 76.5%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 58.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.0% |
No change is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 54¢ | 53.5% | -4.5 pts | $30.8K | 54.4% |
| 25 bps increase | 34¢ | 34.5% | +14.0 pts | $12.2K | 21.5% |
| 50+ bps decrease | 4¢ | 4.2% | -5.8 pts | $1.7K | 3.1% |
| 50+ bps increase | 3¢ | 3.2% | -2.5 pts | $8.5K | 15.1% |
| 25 bps decrease | 2¢ | 1.8% | -4.1 pts | $3.3K | 5.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$56.6K has been traded on this event in total, $5.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,384 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Official-Rehospitalization | Yes | 1,384 | $740 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,305 | $607 |
| Primary-Agent | No | 478 | $222 |
| Wee-Patio | Yes | 455 | $244 |
| Lonely-Pronunciation-Jewellery | Yes | 423 | $226 |
| Burdensome-Netbook | No | 377 | $175 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 358 | $191 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea | No | 335 | $156 |
| Obedient-Briefing | Yes | 329 | $176 |
| Fresh-Cookie | Yes | 314 | $168 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 53.5%. Next is 25 bps increase at 34.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-october?via=bro
$56.6K in total volume, with $5.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 08:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
No change, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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