Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 53.5% in Central Bank of Colombia decision in October — $56.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $5.3K.
Leading outcome
No change
54%
A 53.5% price implies roughly a 54-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −4.5 pts7D +2.0 pts30D −5.5 pts
No change53.5%
25 bps increase34.5%
Bid
52¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since September 11, 2026: 33.5% – 76.5% · Opened at 45.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
Category
Economy, Colombia, Global Rates, Recurring
Scheduled end
October 29, 2026, 08:00 PM ET
Total volume
$56.6K
Volume (24h)
$5.3K
Liquidity
$6.1K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
No change — 53.5%
Resolution source
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 53.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.

Since September 11, 2026, No change has traded between 33.5% and 76.5%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 58.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202667.0%
Oct 17, 202651.5%
Oct 18, 202656.0%
Oct 19, 202655.0%
Oct 20, 202653.5%
Oct 22, 202659.0%
Oct 23, 202658.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No change is favored at 53.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No change54¢53.5%-4.5 pts$30.8K54.4%
25 bps increase34¢34.5%+14.0 pts$12.2K21.5%
50+ bps decrease4¢4.2%-5.8 pts$1.7K3.1%
50+ bps increase3¢3.2%-2.5 pts$8.5K15.1%
25 bps decrease2¢1.8%-4.1 pts$3.3K5.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$56.6K has been traded on this event in total, $5.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,384 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Official-RehospitalizationYes1,384$740
0xa5ef39c3…No1,305$607
Primary-AgentNo478$222
Wee-PatioYes455$244
Lonely-Pronunciation-JewelleryYes423$226
Burdensome-NetbookNo377$175
Fair-TanYes358$191
Mean-Recruit-IdeaNo335$156
Obedient-BriefingYes329$176
Fresh-CookieYes314$168

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $232 at 66.0%BUY No — $99 at 68.0%BUY No — $30 at 99.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:16 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:16 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:15 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:15 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:15 PM ETYesBUY55.0%$1
Oct 24, 06:15 PM ETNoBUY48.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Central Bank of Colombia decision in October?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 53.5%. Next is 25 bps increase at 34.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-october?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Central Bank of Colombia decision in October?

$56.6K in total volume, with $5.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Central Bank of Colombia decision in October end?

The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 08:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

What is the most likely outcome of Central Bank of Colombia decision in October, according to Polymarket traders?

No change, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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