Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Cheryl Fuller at 87.5% in Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner — $13.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Cheryl Fuller
88%
A 87.5% price implies roughly a 88-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.0 pts7D +4.0 pts30D −4.5 pts
Cheryl Fuller87.5%
Candidate A50.0%
Bid
85¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
5¢
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Range since September 03, 2026: 51.5% – 92.5% · Opened at 60.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner
Category
Mayoral, Politics, Australia, Main Election, Global Elections
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$13.7K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$32.3K
Markets
29
Leading outcome
Cheryl Fuller — 87.5%
Resolution source
https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Cheryl Fuller, is priced at 87.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +4.0 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.

Since September 03, 2026, Cheryl Fuller has traded between 51.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 60.5% and last traded at 87.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202683.5%
Oct 16, 202683.0%
Oct 18, 202687.0%
Oct 19, 202678.0%
Oct 20, 202676.5%
Oct 24, 202687.0%
Oct 24, 202687.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Cheryl Fuller is favored at 87.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Cheryl Fuller88¢87.5%+3.0 pts$11.1K81.0%
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Garry Carpenter2¢1.5%—$2.6K19.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$13.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 317 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Liquid-ArgumentYes317$278
Awesome-AvailabilityNo299$37
Belated-GlueNo249$31
Quarterly-LockerYes200$175
Wan-GymnasticsNo151$19
Known-UseYes128$112
0xa5ef39c3…No124$16
Odd-RelishYes124$108
Subdued-PastaYes116$102
Terrible-SunglassesYes100$88

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $468 at 94.3%SELL No — $137 at 32.3%BUY Yes — $124 at 83.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 02:29 PM ETYesBUY77.0%$45
Oct 21, 12:57 PM ETYesBUY73.0%$36
Oct 20, 11:31 AM ETNoSELL25.0%$8
Oct 20, 08:51 AM ETYesBUY75.0%$15
Oct 20, 07:59 AM ETNoSELL26.0%$2
Oct 20, 06:21 AM ETNoSELL28.0%$6
Oct 20, 06:21 AM ETNoSELL28.0%$6
Oct 20, 06:21 AM ETYesBUY70.2%$35
Oct 20, 06:21 AM ETNoSELL32.3%$137
Oct 20, 04:01 AM ETYesSELL75.0%$38

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Cheryl Fuller at 87.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-coast-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner?

$13.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.

When does Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.

What is the most likely outcome of Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Cheryl Fuller, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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