As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spread -20.5: Arkansas State at 96.0% in Georgia State vs. Arkansas State — $76.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spread -20.5: Arkansas State, is priced at 96.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -8.5 pts; past week: -46.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Spread -20.5: Arkansas State has traded between 50.0% and 94.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.0% |
Spread -20.5: Arkansas State is favored at 96.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -20.5: Arkansas State | 96¢ | 96.0% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Arkansas State | 96¢ | 96.0% | +11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Arkansas State | 95¢ | 95.0% | +11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Arkansas State | 95¢ | 95.0% | +13.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Arkansas State | 94¢ | 93.5% | +15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Arkansas State | 92¢ | 91.5% | +18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 75.5: Under | 92¢ | 91.5% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 73.5: Under | 91¢ | 91.0% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Arkansas State | 90¢ | 90.5% | +21.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 71.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.0% | +12.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Arkansas State | 88¢ | 88.0% | +21.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 35.5: Over | 88¢ | 88.0% | -5.5 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| O/U 69.5: Under | 86¢ | 86.5% | +11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 67.5: Under | 86¢ | 86.0% | +16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Arkansas State | 84¢ | 84.5% | +21.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Georgia State | 84¢ | 84.0% | -8.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 65.5: Under | 84¢ | 84.0% | +17.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Arkansas State | 83¢ | 83.0% | +22.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Georgia State | 82¢ | 82.5% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Arkansas State | 81¢ | 81.0% | +21.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 37.5: Over | 81¢ | 81.0% | -9.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 39.5: Over | 81¢ | 81.0% | -8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Arkansas State | 80¢ | 80.5% | +36.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Arkansas State | 78¢ | 78.0% | +21.0 pts | $59 | 0.1% |
| O/U 63.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.0% | +14.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Georgia State | 77¢ | 77.0% | -11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 61.5: Under | 76¢ | 76.0% | +17.5 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| O/U 41.5: Over | 75¢ | 75.0% | -10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Georgia State | 74¢ | 74.0% | -13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Arkansas State | 73¢ | 73.0% | +23.5 pts | $36.0K | 40.2% |
| O/U 59.5: Under | 73¢ | 73.0% | +19.0 pts | $14.4K | 16.2% |
| Spread -1.5: Arkansas State | 70¢ | 70.5% | +24.0 pts | $12.8K | 14.3% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5: Over | 70¢ | 70.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Georgia State vs. Arkansas State: Arkansas State | 70¢ | 69.5% | +24.0 pts | $22.7K | 25.4% |
| O/U 43.5: Over | 70¢ | 69.5% | -12.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Georgia State | 69¢ | 69.0% | -15.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 57.5: Under | 68¢ | 68.0% | +20.5 pts | $1.1K | 1.2% |
| O/U 45.5: Over | 68¢ | 67.5% | -10.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: Arkansas State | 66¢ | 66.0% | +23.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Georgia State | 65¢ | 65.0% | -16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Arkansas State | 64¢ | 63.5% | +22.0 pts | $64 | 0.1% |
| Spread -8.5: Georgia State | 62¢ | 62.0% | -17.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 55.5: Under | 62¢ | 62.0% | +19.0 pts | $177 | 0.2% |
| Spread -0.5: Georgia State | 62¢ | 61.5% | +6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 47.5: Over | 61¢ | 61.0% | -14.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Georgia State O/U 20.5: Over | 60¢ | 60.5% | -21.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5: Arkansas State | 60¢ | 60.0% | +27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Arkansas State | 57¢ | 57.0% | +22.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 53.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | +20.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Georgia State | 56¢ | 56.5% | -19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Arkansas State | 56¢ | 55.5% | +23.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Georgia State O/U 23.5: Under | 54¢ | 53.5% | +27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5: Arkansas State | 53¢ | 53.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5: Arkansas State | 53¢ | 53.0% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5: Arkansas State | 53¢ | 53.0% | +27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Moneyline: Arkansas State | 53¢ | 53.0% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Arkansas State | 52¢ | 52.5% | +22.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.5% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.5% | +3.5 pts | $2 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.5% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5: Arkansas State | 52¢ | 52.5% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5: Arkansas State | 52¢ | 52.5% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5: Arkansas State | 52¢ | 52.5% | -7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 49.5: Over | 52¢ | 51.5% | -18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 51.5: Over | 51¢ | 51.0% | -17.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Georgia State | 50¢ | 50.5% | -20.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 16.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.5% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 334 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
$76.4K has been traded on this event in total, $54.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 214 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Georgia State" if Georgia State win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Georgia State | BUY | 45.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:56 PM ET | Georgia State | BUY | 41.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 PM ET | Arkansas State | BUY | 64.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Georgia State | BUY | 35.0% | $175 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 PM ET | Arkansas State | BUY | 71.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 PM ET | Arkansas State | BUY | 72.1% | $198 |
| Oct 24, 07:36 PM ET | Arkansas State | SELL | 69.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:32 PM ET | Georgia State | BUY | 32.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:32 PM ET | Georgia State | BUY | 32.0% | $70 |
| Oct 24, 07:32 PM ET | Georgia State | BUY | 31.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spread -20.5: Arkansas State at 96.0%. Next is Spread -17.5: Arkansas State at 96.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-gast-arkst-2026-10-24?via=bro
$76.4K in total volume, with $54.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 214 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ncaa.com/.
Spread -20.5: Arkansas State, priced at 96.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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