As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spread -20.5: Hawai'i at 100.0% in Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois — $192.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spread -20.5: Hawai'i, is priced at 100.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +86.0 pts; past week: +50.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Spread -20.5: Hawai'i has traded between 14.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 14.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 14.0% |
Spread -20.5: Hawai'i is favored at 100.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -20.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +86.0 pts | $333 | 0.2% |
| Spread -17.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +82.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +80.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +77.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +75.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +69.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +65.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +62.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +58.0 pts | $83 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +41.4 pts | $313 | 0.2% |
| Spread -1.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +39.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +38.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +37.5 pts | $9 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +34.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +33.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +27.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +25.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +23.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +22.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +18.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +17.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +13.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +10.9 pts | $75 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +8.9 pts | $404 | 0.2% |
| Spread -16.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +9.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 100.0% | +7.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 23.5: Under | 100¢ | 100.0% | +42.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 26.5: Under | 100¢ | 100.0% | +18.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 29.5: Under | 100¢ | 100.0% | +37.0 pts | $50 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 32.5: Under | 100¢ | 100.0% | +53.4 pts | $50 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 35.5: Under | 100¢ | 100.0% | +45.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 12.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 14.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 16.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.6% | +52.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5: Northern Illinois | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5: Northern Illinois | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5: Northern Illinois | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5: Northern Illinois | 100¢ | 99.6% | +43.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5: Northern Illinois | 100¢ | 99.6% | +47.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Moneyline: Hawai'i | 100¢ | 99.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 2.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.6% | +49.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5: Under | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5: Over | 100¢ | 99.5% | +49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 143 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$192.5K has been traded on this event in total, $190.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 116 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 03:30 PM ET.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Northern Illinois". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 64 shares of Northern Illinois.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total-Squeegee | Northern Illinois | 64 | $0 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Northern Illinois | 20 | $0 |
| Sniveling-Stress-Dryer | Northern Illinois | 15 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:39 PM ET | Hawaii | SELL | 99.9% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:38 PM ET | Hawaii | BUY | 99.9% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 06:35 PM ET | Hawaii | SELL | 99.1% | $55 |
| Oct 24, 05:09 PM ET | Northern Illinois | BUY | 47.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 04:52 PM ET | Hawaii | SELL | 41.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 02:35 PM ET | Northern Illinois | BUY | 11.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 PM ET | Hawaii | BUY | 54.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 PM ET | Hawaii | BUY | 53.0% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 PM ET | Hawaii | BUY | 54.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:07 PM ET | Hawaii | BUY | 54.0% | $54 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spread -20.5: Hawai'i at 100.0%. Next is Spread -17.5: Hawai'i at 100.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-hawaii-nill-2026-10-24?via=bro
$192.5K in total volume, with $190.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 116 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 03:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ncaa.com/.
Spread -20.5: Hawai'i, priced at 100.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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