As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spread -13.5: Arizona at 94.3% in Iowa State vs. Arizona — $52.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spread -13.5: Arizona, is priced at 94.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.4 pts; past week: -44.3 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Spread -13.5: Arizona has traded between 50.0% and 95.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 91.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.9% |
Spread -13.5: Arizona is favored at 94.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -13.5: Arizona | 94¢ | 94.3% | +2.4 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Arizona | 92¢ | 92.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Arizona | 90¢ | 89.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Arizona | 88¢ | 88.5% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Arizona | 86¢ | 86.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 69.5: Under | 86¢ | 86.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5: Under | 86¢ | 85.5% | +14.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Arizona | 84¢ | 84.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Arizona | 84¢ | 84.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Arizona | 82¢ | 82.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5: Under | 81¢ | 81.0% | +20.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5: Over | 80¢ | 80.5% | +16.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: Arizona | 80¢ | 79.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arizona O/U 23.5: Over | 78¢ | 78.5% | +27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 39.5: Over | 78¢ | 78.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 63.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Iowa State vs. Arizona: Arizona | 78¢ | 77.5% | +2.0 pts | $18.3K | 26.7% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5: Under | 78¢ | 77.5% | +26.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5: Under | 78¢ | 77.5% | +22.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5: Over | 76¢ | 76.5% | +9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5: Over | 76¢ | 76.0% | +9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: Arizona | 76¢ | 75.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5: Arizona | 76¢ | 75.5% | +11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5: Iowa State | 76¢ | 75.5% | +34.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Arizona | 74¢ | 74.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5: Iowa State | 73¢ | 73.0% | +18.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5: Over | 71¢ | 71.0% | +15.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5: Arizona | 71¢ | 71.0% | +16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5: Iowa State | 71¢ | 71.0% | +19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5: Arizona | 71¢ | 71.0% | +23.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Iowa State | 70¢ | 70.5% | -0.5 pts | $367 | 0.5% |
| Spread -3.5: Arizona | 69¢ | 69.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Arizona | 69¢ | 69.0% | +2.5 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5: Arizona | 68¢ | 68.0% | +19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Arizona | 68¢ | 67.5% | -8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Arizona | 66¢ | 66.0% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5: Under | 66¢ | 65.5% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Iowa State | 65¢ | 65.0% | -1.5 pts | $530 | 0.8% |
| O/U 47.5: Over | 65¢ | 65.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 57.5: Under | 65¢ | 65.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5: Under | 64¢ | 64.5% | +19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5: Iowa State | 64¢ | 64.5% | +21.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 45.5: Over | 64¢ | 64.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Arizona | 64¢ | 63.5% | +0.5 pts | $592 | 0.9% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5: Over | 63¢ | 63.0% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Iowa State | 62¢ | 62.5% | -1.5 pts | $771 | 1.1% |
| Spread -0.5: Iowa State | 62¢ | 61.5% | +36.5 pts | $176 | 0.3% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5: Over | 62¢ | 61.5% | -6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5: Arizona | 61¢ | 61.0% | +10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5: Over | 60¢ | 60.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Arizona | 60¢ | 59.5% | +4.0 pts | $643 | 0.9% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5: Under | 60¢ | 59.5% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5: Under | 60¢ | 59.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 55.5: Over | 58¢ | 58.5% | +21.0 pts | $157 | 0.2% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5: Under | 58¢ | 58.5% | -9.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Iowa State | 58¢ | 58.0% | -2.0 pts | $2.5K | 3.7% |
| Iowa State O/U 23.5: Over | 58¢ | 58.0% | +22.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5: Iowa State | 57¢ | 57.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 53.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5: Iowa State | 56¢ | 56.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5: Arizona | 56¢ | 56.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5: Iowa State | 56¢ | 56.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5: Under | 56¢ | 55.5% | +11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5: Arizona | 56¢ | 55.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5: Arizona | 55¢ | 54.5% | +2.5 pts | $1.3K | 1.9% |
| Spread -13.5: Iowa State | 54¢ | 54.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 49.5: Over | 54¢ | 54.0% | -2.5 pts | $2.6K | 3.8% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5: Under | 54¢ | 54.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5: Arizona | 54¢ | 54.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Arizona | 52¢ | 52.5% | +1.0 pts | $39.5K | 57.6% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5: Over | 52¢ | 52.5% | +16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5: Iowa State | 52¢ | 52.5% | -5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 51.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | +1.5 pts | $760 | 1.1% |
| 2H Spread -4.5: Arizona | 52¢ | 52.0% | -11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5: Arizona | 52¢ | 51.5% | +6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Arizona | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Arizona | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Arizona | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 334 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$52.1K has been traded on this event in total, $60.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 214 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:30 PM ET.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Iowa State.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Back | Iowa State | 5 | $0 |
| Delicious-Carpet-Troop | Arizona | 5 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 96.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $138 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $118 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $94 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $94 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $150 |
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Arizona | BUY | 94.0% | $94 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spread -13.5: Arizona at 94.3%. Next is Spread -10.5: Arizona at 92.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-iowast-arz-2026-10-24?via=bro
$52.1K in total volume, with $60.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 214 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ncaa.com/.
Spread -13.5: Arizona, priced at 94.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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