Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Michigan State vs. UCLA

As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA at 100.0% in Michigan State vs. UCLA — $895.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $888.4K.

Leading outcome

Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA

100%

A 100.0% price implies roughly a 100-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.

24H −14.4 pts7D −20.0 pts

Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA100.0%

Spread -20.5: UCLA100.0%

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Range since October 12, 2026: 50.0% – 100.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data

Event: Michigan State vs. UCLA
Category: Sports, CFB (All), Games
Scheduled end: October 24, 2026, 03:30 PM ET
Total volume: $895.3K
Volume (24h): $888.4K
Liquidity: $3.23M
Markets: 168
Leading outcome: Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA — 100.0%
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA, is priced at 100.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -14.4 pts; past week: -20.0 pts.

Since October 12, 2026, Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA has traded between 50.0% and 100.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 100.0%.

Day	Close
Oct 16, 2026	75.0%
Oct 18, 2026	83.0%
Oct 19, 2026	84.5%
Oct 20, 2026	83.5%
Oct 22, 2026	85.5%
Oct 23, 2026	85.5%
Oct 24, 2026	100.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA is favored at 100.0%.

Outcome	Price	Implied probability	24h change	Volume	Volume share
Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+14.4 pts	$753.3K	84.1%
Spread -20.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+48.4 pts	$10	0.0%
Spread -17.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+49.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -16.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+49.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -14.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+49.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -13.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+2.9 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -10.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+7.3 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -8.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+7.4 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -7.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+4.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -6.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+6.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -5.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+7.4 pts	$5	0.0%
Spread -4.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+8.0 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -3.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+8.9 pts	$233	0.0%
Spread -2.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+13.0 pts	$186	0.0%
Spread -1.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+13.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -0.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+14.4 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -0.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+14.9 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -1.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+15.4 pts	$39	0.0%
Spread -2.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+18.4 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -3.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+22.9 pts	$424	0.0%
Spread -4.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+23.9 pts	$947	0.1%
Spread -5.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+26.5 pts	$480	0.1%
Spread -6.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+28.0 pts	$920	0.1%
Spread -7.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+33.5 pts	$2.4K	0.3%
Spread -8.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+36.4 pts	$308	0.0%
Spread -10.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+39.5 pts	$74	0.0%
Spread -13.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+43.5 pts	$6.5K	0.7%
Spread -14.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+49.5 pts	$29.6K	3.3%
Spread -16.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+53.4 pts	$3.3K	0.4%
Spread -17.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+59.0 pts	$2.1K	0.2%
Spread -20.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+34.4 pts	$876	0.1%
O/U 35.5: Over	100¢	100.0%	+26.5 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 37.5: Over	100¢	100.0%	+33.0 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 39.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+63.9 pts	$2.6K	0.3%
O/U 41.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+57.5 pts	$5.5K	0.6%
O/U 43.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+53.4 pts	$22.7K	2.5%
O/U 45.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+45.5 pts	$14.0K	1.6%
O/U 47.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+40.5 pts	$5.2K	0.6%
O/U 49.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+34.9 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 51.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+29.4 pts	$88	0.0%
O/U 53.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+22.9 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 55.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+20.4 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 57.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+17.4 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 59.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+11.9 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 61.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+10.4 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 63.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+8.9 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 65.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+7.4 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 67.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+6.5 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 69.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+8.2 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 71.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+7.0 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 73.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+7.8 pts	$0	0.0%
O/U 75.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+7.4 pts	$0	0.0%
4Q O/U 13.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+36.4 pts	$0	0.0%
4Q O/U 16.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+27.5 pts	$0	0.0%
4Q O/U 19.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+26.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Michigan State O/U 20.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+42.4 pts	$5	0.0%
Michigan State O/U 23.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+39.5 pts	$7	0.0%
Michigan State O/U 26.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$50	0.0%
Michigan State O/U 29.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$50	0.0%
Michigan State O/U 32.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$0	0.0%
UCLA O/U 29.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+51.4 pts	$0	0.0%
UCLA O/U 32.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+39.0 pts	$0	0.0%
UCLA O/U 35.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+38.0 pts	$0	0.0%
Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$0	0.0%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$0	0.0%
Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$0	0.0%
Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5: Under	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$0	0.0%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5: Over	100¢	100.0%	+50.0 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -9.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+37.5 pts	$2.1K	0.2%
Spread -11.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+38.5 pts	$2.4K	0.3%
Spread -12.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+41.4 pts	$345	0.0%
Spread -15.5: UCLA	100¢	100.0%	+51.4 pts	$511	0.1%
Spread -18.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+39.0 pts	$25.3K	2.8%
Spread -19.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+37.5 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -21.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+31.4 pts	$3.8K	0.4%
Spread -22.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+28.4 pts	$5	0.0%
Spread -24.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+24.9 pts	$1.4K	0.2%
Spread -27.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+18.9 pts	$1.3K	0.1%
Spread -28.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+14.4 pts	$0	0.0%
Spread -30.5: Michigan State	100¢	100.0%	+14.0 pts	$0	0.0%

Plus 245 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

How much has been traded?

Volume

$895.3K has been traded on this event in total, $888.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 168 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 03:30 PM ET.

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and UCLA, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 156,623 shares of Michigan State.

Holder	Outcome held	Shares	Value at current price
Grown-Difference-Burnout	Michigan State	156,623	$78
Corrupt-Poisoning	UCLA	90,066	$90.0K
Neighboring-Bunkhouse	UCLA	30,100	$30.1K
TAIWANNUMBERONE	UCLA	23,430	$23.4K
Substantial-Service	Michigan State	22,841	$11
Narrow-Authorization	UCLA	17,061	$17.1K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense	UCLA	14,890	$14.9K
Bruised-Downfall	Michigan State	12,249	$6
Short-Term-Valance	UCLA	10,250	$10.2K
Fake-Bitter	UCLA	8,589	$8.6K

What are the latest trades?

Tape

BUY UCLA — $13.2K at 99.9%BUY UCLA — $3.6K at 43.0%BUY UCLA — $3.3K at 42.0%

Time	Outcome	Side	Price	Size
Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$231
Oct 24, 07:41 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$24
Oct 24, 07:20 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$1
Oct 24, 07:20 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$500
Oct 24, 07:06 PM ET	Michigan State	SELL	99.9%	$22
Oct 24, 07:05 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$5
Oct 24, 06:56 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$1
Oct 24, 06:56 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$20
Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET	UCLA	SELL	99.9%	$10
Oct 24, 06:54 PM ET	UCLA	BUY	99.9%	$13.2K

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Michigan State vs. UCLA?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA at 100.0%. Next is Spread -20.5: UCLA at 100.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-mst-ucla-2026-10-24?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Michigan State vs. UCLA?

$895.3K in total volume, with $888.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 168 markets.

When does Michigan State vs. UCLA end?

The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 03:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ncaa.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of Michigan State vs. UCLA, according to Polymarket traders?

Michigan State vs. UCLA: UCLA, priced at 100.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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