As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spread -16.5: Nevada at 99.1% in San Jose State vs. Nevada — $519.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spread -16.5: Nevada, is priced at 99.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.6 pts; past week: -49.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Spread -16.5: Nevada has traded between 50.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 94.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.5% |
Spread -16.5: Nevada is favored at 99.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -16.5: Nevada | 99¢ | 99.1% | +7.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 55.5: Under | 99¢ | 98.9% | +26.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Nevada | 98¢ | 98.2% | +4.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 49.5: Under | 98¢ | 98.2% | +38.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Nevada | 98¢ | 98.0% | +6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Nevada | 98¢ | 98.0% | +15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 61.5: Under | 98¢ | 98.0% | +15.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 67.5: Under | 98¢ | 97.5% | +7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Nevada | 97¢ | 97.5% | +11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Nevada | 97¢ | 97.4% | +20.3 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 45.5: Under | 97¢ | 97.2% | +49.8 pts | $20.6K | 3.9% |
| O/U 43.5: Under | 97¢ | 97.2% | +55.6 pts | $3.4K | 0.7% |
| Spread -5.5: Nevada | 97¢ | 97.1% | +17.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Nevada | 97¢ | 97.0% | +17.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 47.5: Under | 97¢ | 97.0% | +43.5 pts | $4.7K | 0.9% |
| Spread -2.5: Nevada | 96¢ | 96.0% | +24.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Nevada | 96¢ | 95.5% | +26.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: Nevada | 94¢ | 94.5% | +27.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: Nevada | 94¢ | 94.0% | +23.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| San Jose State vs. Nevada: Nevada | 94¢ | 93.5% | +24.0 pts | $397.3K | 76.3% |
| Spread -20.5: San Jose State | 92¢ | 92.5% | +10.0 pts | $214 | 0.0% |
| O/U 37.5: Under | 92¢ | 92.5% | +65.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Nevada | 92¢ | 92.0% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| San Jose State O/U 23.5: Under | 91¢ | 91.0% | +26.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Nevada | 88¢ | 88.0% | +29.0 pts | $54 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Nevada | 86¢ | 86.5% | +30.0 pts | $2.8K | 0.5% |
| Nevada O/U 23.5: Under | 82¢ | 82.5% | +34.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| San Jose State O/U 20.5: Under | 80¢ | 79.5% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Nevada | 78¢ | 78.5% | +25.0 pts | $29.3K | 5.6% |
| Spread -17.5: San Jose State | 77¢ | 77.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Nevada | 76¢ | 76.5% | +26.0 pts | $57.5K | 11.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Nevada | 76¢ | 75.5% | +32.0 pts | $3.2K | 0.6% |
| Spread -16.5: San Jose State | 74¢ | 74.0% | -1.5 pts | $61 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Nevada | 72¢ | 72.5% | -23.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: San Jose State | 70¢ | 70.5% | -2.0 pts | $53 | 0.0% |
| O/U 41.5: Under | 70¢ | 70.5% | +33.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 39.5: Under | 70¢ | 70.0% | +32.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Nevada | 69¢ | 69.0% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 35.5: Under | 68¢ | 67.5% | +43.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Nevada | 66¢ | 65.5% | -24.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: San Jose State | 62¢ | 62.5% | -6.0 pts | $173 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Nevada | 60¢ | 60.0% | +22.0 pts | $904 | 0.2% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5: Under | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | +4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Moneyline: Nevada | 53¢ | 53.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5: Over | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nevada Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5: Over | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nevada Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 15.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: San Jose State | 50¢ | 50.0% | +42.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Nevada | 50¢ | 50.0% | -42.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: San Jose State | 50¢ | 50.0% | +35.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Nevada | 50¢ | 50.0% | -35.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: San Jose State | 50¢ | 50.0% | +19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Nevada | 50¢ | 50.0% | -19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 51.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +14.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 51.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -14.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 53.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 53.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 57.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +25.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 57.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -25.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 59.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +32.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 59.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -32.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 63.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +35.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 63.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -35.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 65.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +37.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 65.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | -37.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 69.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +43.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 248 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
$519.2K has been traded on this event in total, $504.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 170 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nevada". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.3% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | San Jose State | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.8% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | Nevada | BUY | 99.9% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spread -16.5: Nevada at 99.1%. Next is O/U 55.5: Under at 98.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-sjst-nevada-2026-10-24?via=bro
$519.2K in total volume, with $504.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 170 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ncaa.com/.
Spread -16.5: Nevada, priced at 99.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.