As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spread -20.5: Wisconsin at 90.0% in USC vs. Wisconsin — $103.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spread -20.5: Wisconsin, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -40.0 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Spread -20.5: Wisconsin has traded between 50.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 91.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.0% |
Spread -20.5: Wisconsin is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -20.5: Wisconsin | 90¢ | 90.0% | +1.0 pts | $33 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: USC | 90¢ | 90.0% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 71.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: USC | 90¢ | 89.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: USC | 89¢ | 89.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -17.5: Wisconsin | 86¢ | 86.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: USC | 85¢ | 85.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 35.5: Over | 85¢ | 85.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Wisconsin | 84¢ | 84.5% | +1.5 pts | $402 | 0.4% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5: USC | 84¢ | 84.5% | +34.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 65.5: Under | 83¢ | 83.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Wisconsin | 82¢ | 82.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: USC | 82¢ | 82.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Wisconsin | 80¢ | 80.5% | +2.5 pts | $137 | 0.1% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5: Under | 79¢ | 79.0% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5: Wisconsin | 77¢ | 77.0% | +24.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5: Under | 76¢ | 76.5% | +16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5: Over | 76¢ | 76.5% | +19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: USC | 76¢ | 76.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Wisconsin | 76¢ | 75.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 41.5: Over | 73¢ | 73.0% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 59.5: Under | 72¢ | 72.0% | -1.0 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5: Under | 72¢ | 71.5% | +23.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5: Over | 71¢ | 71.0% | +23.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: USC | 70¢ | 70.5% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| USC O/U 20.5: Over | 70¢ | 70.0% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Wisconsin | 69¢ | 69.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: USC | 69¢ | 69.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5: USC | 69¢ | 69.0% | +20.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: USC | 67¢ | 67.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5: Wisconsin | 67¢ | 67.0% | +16.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5: Under | 66¢ | 66.5% | +24.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: USC | 66¢ | 65.5% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -6.5: Wisconsin | 64¢ | 64.0% | +0.5 pts | $86 | 0.1% |
| Spread -3.5: USC | 64¢ | 64.0% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -5.5: Wisconsin | 62¢ | 62.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 55.5: Under | 62¢ | 62.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -4.5: Wisconsin | 61¢ | 61.0% | +2.0 pts | $8 | 0.0% |
| USC O/U 23.5: Over | 61¢ | 61.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -3.5: Wisconsin | 59¢ | 59.0% | +3.0 pts | $9.9K | 9.0% |
| Spread -2.5: USC | 59¢ | 59.0% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 47.5: Over | 59¢ | 59.0% | +1.0 pts | $442 | 0.4% |
| O/U 53.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -1.5: USC | 56¢ | 56.0% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5: USC | 56¢ | 56.0% | +6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| USC vs. Wisconsin: USC | 55¢ | 54.5% | -2.5 pts | $47.3K | 43.2% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5: Over | 54¢ | 54.0% | +13.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wisconsin O/U 23.5: Over | 54¢ | 53.5% | +1.0 pts | $3 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5: Wisconsin | 53¢ | 53.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -2.5: Wisconsin | 52¢ | 51.5% | +4.0 pts | $26.4K | 24.2% |
| Spread -1.5: USC | 52¢ | 51.5% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 49.5: Over | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $24.4K | 22.3% |
| O/U 51.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | -3.5 pts | $251 | 0.2% |
| 1H O/U 33.5: Over | 51¢ | 51.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| USC vs. Wisconsin: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5: Over | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | -15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5: Over | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5: USC | 51¢ | 51.0% | +13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: USC | 50¢ | 50.5% | -44.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 16.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.5% | -18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50¢ | 50.5% | +7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| USC vs. Wisconsin: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.5% | +5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: USC | 50¢ | 50.0% | +21.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50.0% | -21.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: USC | 50¢ | 50.0% | -6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -0.5: Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50.0% | +6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50.0% | +31.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -8.5: USC | 50¢ | 50.0% | -31.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 37.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 37.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +27.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 39.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -24.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 39.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +24.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 43.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 43.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 45.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | -10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 45.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | +10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 57.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | +20.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 334 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$103.0K has been traded on this event in total, $78.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 214 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:30 PM ET.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 33 shares of USC.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timely-Obsession | USC | 33 | $3 |
| Sympathetic-Back | Wisconsin | 33 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | USC | BUY | 49.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 07:53 PM ET | Wisconsin | BUY | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 PM ET | Wisconsin | BUY | 53.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:51 PM ET | USC | BUY | 46.0% | $75 |
| Oct 24, 07:51 PM ET | Wisconsin | BUY | 55.0% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | USC | BUY | 44.0% | $61 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Wisconsin | BUY | 57.0% | $190 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | USC | BUY | 43.0% | $3.6K |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Wisconsin | BUY | 56.0% | $323 |
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Wisconsin | BUY | 53.0% | $173 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spread -20.5: Wisconsin at 90.0%. Next is Spread -17.5: USC at 90.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-usc-wisc-2026-10-24?via=bro
$103.0K in total volume, with $78.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 214 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:30 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ncaa.com/.
Spread -20.5: Wisconsin, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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