As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.6% in Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings? — $4.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.9 pts; past week: -0.9 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 49.5% and 98.2%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 94.6%.
No is favored at 94.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 94.6% | -0.9 pts | $4.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.4% | +0.9 pts | $4.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.4K has been traded on this event in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, Confluent is estimated to release earnings on October 26, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Confluent’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.14 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Confluent reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.14 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Confluent releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CFLT/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,479 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Informed-Ischemia | No | 1,479 | $1.4K |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 1,014 | $55 |
| 0x049ca21b… | Yes | 315 | $17 |
| Pure-Threat | No | 309 | $292 |
| Practical-Advent | No | 194 | $184 |
| Stale-Cashew | Yes | 134 | $7 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 112 | $6 |
| Teeming-Puppet | Yes | 110 | $6 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 100 | $5 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 83 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 01:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 10:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $72 |
| Oct 21, 10:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.1% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 10:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 35.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.6%. Next is Yes at 5.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cflt-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-26-2026-0pt14?via=bro
$4.4K in total volume, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CFLT/earnings.
No, priced at 94.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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