As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Tsai Yi-yu at 90.5% in Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner — $6.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Tsai Yi-yu, is priced at 90.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Tsai Yi-yu has traded between 86.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 90.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.5% |
Tsai Yi-yu is favored at 90.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tsai Yi-yu | 90¢ | 90.5% | — | $2.3K | 38.7% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wu Pin-jui | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $3.0K | 49.9% |
| Tsai Sung-yi | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $684 | 11.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 404 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 404 | $38 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 291 | $263 |
| Liquid-Latex-Tension | Yes | 162 | $147 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 146 | $14 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 140 | $126 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 131 | $12 |
| Boring-Specification | Yes | 69 | $62 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 51 | $5 |
| Straight-Apprehension | Yes | 20 | $18 |
| runes-leo | Yes | 20 | $18 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 10:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $91 |
| Oct 21, 04:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.4% | $27 |
| Oct 21, 04:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 04:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $56 |
| Oct 21, 04:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $30 |
| Oct 21, 04:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $32 |
| Oct 14, 06:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $46 |
| Oct 14, 03:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $17 |
| Oct 13, 04:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $20 |
| Oct 01, 12:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Tsai Yi-yu at 90.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/chiayi-county-magistrate-election-winner-20260813135716900?via=bro
$6.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Tsai Yi-yu, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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