As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Guandong GZ-Power at 54.9% in China League One: Team promoted to Chinese Super League (2026) — $128 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Guandong GZ-Power, is priced at 54.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.8 pts; past week: +1.2 pts; past month: +5.3 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Guandong GZ-Power has traded between 49.5% and 99.6%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 52.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 99.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.1% |
Guandong GZ-Power is favored at 54.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guandong GZ-Power | 55¢ | 54.9% | +3.8 pts | $78 | 61.1% |
| Shenzhen Juniors | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Changchun Yatai | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dalian Kun City | 50¢ | 49.5% | +3.0 pts | $50 | 38.9% |
| Foshan Nanshi | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jiangxi Dingnan United | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Meizhou Hakka | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nanjing City | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo Professional | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Shaanxi Union | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Suzhou Dongwu | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wuxi Wugou | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yanbian Longding | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 90¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$128 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the China League One to the Chinese Super League for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Chinese Super League for the 2027 season through their final standing in the China League One, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the China League One and Chinese Super League. If the 2026 China League One season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the China League One and Chinese Super League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 78 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nutty-Atelier | Yes | 78 | $43 |
| Those-Shame | No | 78 | $35 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 10:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $78 |
| Oct 09, 04:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $49 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Guandong GZ-Power at 54.9%. Next is Shenzhen Juniors at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/china-league-one-team-promoted-to-chinese-super-league-2026?via=bro
$128 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Guandong GZ-Power, priced at 54.9% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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