As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Qingdao Hainiu at 98.6% in Chinese Super League: Teams relegated (2026) — $18.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Qingdao Hainiu, is priced at 98.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +0.4 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Qingdao Hainiu has traded between 26.5% and 98.6%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 98.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.6% |
Qingdao Hainiu is favored at 98.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Hainiu | 99¢ | 98.6% | — | $467 | 2.6% |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 91¢ | 90.8% | +6.0 pts | $4.0K | 22.1% |
| Yunnan Yukun | 13¢ | 13.4% | +11.5 pts | $2.6K | 14.5% |
| Qingdao West Coast | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $884 | 4.9% |
| Liaoning Tieren | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $1.7K | 9.4% |
| Beijing Guoan | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $2.2K | 12.4% |
| Zhejiang | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.5 pts | $199 | 1.1% |
| Dalian Yingbo | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K | 7.4% |
| Shandong Taishan | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $235 | 1.3% |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $391 | 2.2% |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $859 | 4.8% |
| Shanghai Port | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $326 | 1.8% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $340 | 1.9% |
| Shenzhen Peng City | 1¢ | 0.5% | -4.8 pts | $363 | 2.0% |
| Henan | 1¢ | 0.5% | -3.0 pts | $617 | 3.4% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 8.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.0K has been traded on this event in total, $582 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Chinese Super League at the conclusion of the 2026 Chinese Super League season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Chinese Super League for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Chinese Super League, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Chinese Super League. If the 2026 Chinese Super League season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Chinese Super League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 80 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best-Feather | Yes | 80 | $79 |
| JonnyA | Yes | 61 | $60 |
| Spicy-Acrylic | No | 50 | $1 |
| Known-Use | No | 20 | $0 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $0 |
| Trusty-Lining-Wax | No | 20 | $0 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 12 | $0 |
| Dimpled-Spiderling | No | 7 | $0 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | No | 5 | $0 |
| Those-Shame | No | 5 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 08:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $65 |
| Oct 24, 08:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.3% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $45 |
| Oct 20, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $36 |
| Oct 20, 12:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 96.0% | $19 |
| Oct 19, 09:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.5% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Qingdao Hainiu at 98.6%. Next is Wuhan Three Towns at 90.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/chinese-super-league-teams-relegated-2026?via=bro
$18.0K in total volume, with $582 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qingdao Hainiu, priced at 98.6% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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