As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 79.5% in Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? — $9.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +14.0 pts.
Since July 22, 2026, No has traded between 30.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 79.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.0% |
No is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 79.5% | — | $9.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $9.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 15¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.9K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chuck Edwards' departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Chuck Edwards, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Chuck Edwards has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from North Carolina's 11th Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 526 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constant-Optimization | No | 526 | $418 |
| theginth | No | 398 | $316 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 365 | $75 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 300 | $238 |
| Quick-Witted-Terminology | Yes | 279 | $57 |
| Electric-Interpretation | Yes | 206 | $42 |
| Stunning-Sister | Yes | 206 | $42 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 96 | $20 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 60 | $12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 58 | $46 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 14, 10:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $7 |
| Oct 14, 09:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 09:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $25 |
| Oct 13, 05:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 13, 05:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $32 |
| Oct 03, 09:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $28 |
| Oct 03, 06:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 03, 06:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 03, 04:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 79.5%. Next is Yes at 20.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/chuck-edwards-out-as-us-rep-before-december-31-2026-20260722142249984?via=bro
$9.9K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.