As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Brendan Blomeley at 61.5% in Clarence Mayoral Election Winner — $22.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Brendan Blomeley, is priced at 61.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past month: -9.5 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Brendan Blomeley has traded between 34.5% and 80.5%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 68.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 68.0% |
Brendan Blomeley is favored at 61.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Blomeley | 62¢ | 61.5% | -1.0 pts | $10.4K | 46.5% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tony Mulder | 21¢ | 21.1% | -0.2 pts | $8.1K | 36.1% |
| Dean Young | 10¢ | 10.0% | +2.2 pts | $1.1K | 4.9% |
| Drew Jenner | 5¢ | 4.6% | — | $2.0K | 8.8% |
| James Walker | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $802 | 3.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 57¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.4K has been traded on this event in total, $203 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 832 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 832 | $320 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 562 | $346 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 492 | $302 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 233 | $90 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 213 | $131 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 144 | $55 |
| Flaky-Doing | Yes | 114 | $70 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 114 | $44 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 111 | $43 |
| 0x6b25c5c4… | Yes | 110 | $68 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 53.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 01:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 12:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.1% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 03:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.2% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 12:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Brendan Blomeley at 61.5%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/clarence-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$22.4K in total volume, with $203 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Brendan Blomeley, priced at 61.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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