As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 22.5-24M at 59.5% in "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets) — $35.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 22.5-24M, is priced at 59.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +30.5 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, 22.5-24M has traded between 29.0% and 61.5%. It opened at 29.0% and last traded at 61.5%.
22.5-24M is favored at 59.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.5-24M | 60¢ | 59.5% | +30.5 pts | $3.9K | 11.0% |
| 24M+ | 22¢ | 21.6% | +10.1 pts | $11.6K | 32.7% |
| 21-22.5M | 16¢ | 16.0% | -20.5 pts | $5.8K | 16.2% |
| 19.5-21M | 2¢ | 2.2% | -21.2 pts | $11.9K | 33.5% |
| <19.5M | 0¢ | 0.2% | -3.4 pts | $2.4K | 6.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 27¢ (bid 46¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$35.5K has been traded on this event in total, $26.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to how much "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 23 - 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,980 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x955c9661… | Yes | 2,980 | $1.8K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,752 | $1.1K |
| Thunderous-Stock | No | 1,140 | $462 |
| Starry-Boudoir | Yes | 380 | $226 |
| Glossy-Statute | Yes | 200 | $119 |
| Insignificant-Affair | Yes | 180 | $107 |
| Drafty-Afterlife | Yes | 113 | $67 |
| Sticky-Tabernacle-Nursery | No | 108 | $44 |
| Cluttered-Gain | Yes | 100 | $60 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever | Yes | 65 | $39 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $55 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $113 |
| Oct 24, 07:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 07:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 07:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 22.5-24M at 59.5%. Next is 24M+ at 21.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/clayface-opening-weekend-box-office-tighter-brackets-20261025?via=bro
$35.5K in total volume, with $26.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 07:59 AM ET.
22.5-24M, priced at 59.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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