As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ella Langley at 81.5% in CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026 — $11.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ella Langley, is priced at 81.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since September 18, 2026, Ella Langley has traded between 70.5% and 81.5%. It opened at 74.0% and last traded at 81.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 81.5% |
Ella Langley is favored at 81.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Langley | 82¢ | 81.5% | +1.0 pts | $5.5K | 48.5% |
| A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lainey Wilson | 12¢ | 12.4% | -1.9 pts | $1.2K | 10.6% |
| Miranda Lambert | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $3.9K | 34.2% |
| Kacey Musgraves | 2¢ | 2.3% | -0.8 pts | $470 | 4.2% |
| Megan Moroney | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $291 | 2.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://cmaawards.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 402 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guilty-Spring | Yes | 402 | $328 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 394 | $73 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 348 | $64 |
| Agitated-Mobster | Yes | 210 | $171 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 176 | $33 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 160 | $130 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 135 | $110 |
| Repentant-Graphic | Yes | 110 | $90 |
| Accomplished-Equal | No | 63 | $12 |
| Required-Horn | No | 40 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 03:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 02:36 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.3% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 07:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 05:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $3 |
| Oct 09, 05:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $16 |
| Oct 09, 05:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.3% | $13 |
| Oct 09, 05:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $3 |
| Oct 06, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 02, 11:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ella Langley at 81.5%. Next is A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cma-female-vocalist-of-the-year-2026?via=bro
$11.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://cmaawards.com/.
Ella Langley, priced at 81.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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