As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at 53.0% in CMA Music Video of the Year 2026 — $15.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley), is priced at 53.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: +4.5 pts.
Since September 18, 2026, Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) has traded between 39.0% and 67.0%. It opened at 63.5% and last traded at 53.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.0% |
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) is favored at 53.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) | 53¢ | 53.0% | +0.5 pts | $7.6K | 48.0% |
| A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) | 29¢ | 29.0% | +2.0 pts | $7.0K | 44.2% |
| White Horse (Chris Stapleton) | 12¢ | 12.4% | +1.1 pts | $235 | 1.5% |
| The Fall (Cody Johnson) | 6¢ | 5.5% | +0.6 pts | $415 | 2.6% |
| Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves) | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $585 | 3.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year. If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://cmaawards.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,725 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 1,725 | $811 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | Yes | 608 | $322 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 355 | $188 |
| Guilty-Spring | Yes | 300 | $159 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 166 | $88 |
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 161 | $85 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 135 | $64 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 132 | $62 |
| Dense-Whip | Yes | 119 | $63 |
| Agitated-Mobster | Yes | 55 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 09:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 20, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 11:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $12 |
| Oct 18, 04:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $7 |
| Oct 17, 09:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $18 |
| Oct 17, 12:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $8 |
| Oct 13, 02:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 49.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.0% | $12 |
| Oct 10, 12:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 12:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at 53.0%. Next is A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cma-music-video-of-the-year-2026?via=bro
$15.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://cmaawards.com/.
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley), priced at 53.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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