Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price A at 50.0% in CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026 — $14.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $33.
Leading outcome
A
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
A50.0%
B50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026
Category
CMAs, Music, Awards, Culture, music industry, Hide From New
Scheduled end
November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$14.1K
Volume (24h)
$33
Liquidity
$1.8K
Markets
32
Leading outcome
A — 50.0%
Resolution source
https://cmaawards.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, A, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

A is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
A Song To Sing (Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton)44¢44.0%+1.5 pts$5.8K41.0%
I Can't Love You Anymore (Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen)34¢34.0%—$5.5K39.3%
Horses and Divorces (Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert)12¢12.5%+0.5 pts$2.4K16.8%
McArthur (HARDY, Eric Church, Morgan Wallen and Tim McGraw)5¢4.7%-0.3 pts$2161.5%
If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay (Carly Pearce and Riley Green)4¢4.4%+0.7 pts$1901.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.1K has been traded on this event in total, $33 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed collaboration that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year. If a listed collaboration is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musical Event of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning collaboration whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://cmaawards.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 50 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No50$25
Grown-FenceYes20$10
Admirable-TrustYes18$9
Messy-Ritual-HopsYes6$3
Blind-LeafYes3$2
Ripe-PutYes3$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $342 at 55.3%SELL No — $205 at 63.8%BUY No — $168 at 84.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 12:12 AM ETNoSELL64.0%$10
Oct 24, 12:12 AM ETNoSELL53.0%$9
Oct 20, 07:38 PM ETYesBUY36.0%$6
Oct 19, 01:47 PM ETNoSELL50.0%$10
Oct 17, 12:10 AM ETYesBUY44.0%$4
Oct 16, 12:37 AM ETYesSELL9.0%$0
Oct 16, 12:37 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$5
Oct 16, 12:37 AM ETYesSELL9.0%$0
Oct 16, 12:37 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$5
Oct 15, 10:56 PM ETNoSELL55.0%$22

Related markets

More CMAs

CMA Single of the Year 2026

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 84.0% · 24H VOL $122

CMA Album of the Year 2026

Dandelion (Ella Langley) 65.5% · 24H VOL $69

CMA Male Vocalist of the Year 2026

Cody Johnson 50.5% · 24H VOL $62

CMA Entertainer of the Year 2026

Ella Langley 88.5% · 24H VOL $28

CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026

The Red Clay Strays 71.5% · 24H VOL $5

CMA New Artist of the Year 2026

A 50.0% · 24H VOL $5

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is A at 50.0%. Next is B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cma-musical-event-of-the-year-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026?

$14.1K in total volume, with $33 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.

When does CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://cmaawards.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of CMA Musical Event of the Year 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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