As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at 84.0% in CMA Single of the Year 2026 — $5.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley), is priced at 84.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +13.5 pts.
Since September 18, 2026, Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) has traded between 69.5% and 85.0%. It opened at 69.5% and last traded at 84.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.0% |
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) is favored at 84.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) | 84¢ | 84.0% | — | $2.2K | 42.0% |
| A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $1.8K | 34.4% |
| Be Her (Ella Langley) | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $576 | 10.9% |
| I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift) | 2¢ | 2.4% | +0.6 pts | $513 | 9.7% |
| The Fall (Cody Johnson) | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $153 | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.3K has been traded on this event in total, $98 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://cmaawards.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 897 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 897 | $143 |
| Trained-Picket | Yes | 846 | $711 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 308 | $259 |
| Few-Prevention | No | 200 | $32 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 148 | $24 |
| Gifted-Rancher | Yes | 119 | $100 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 81 | $13 |
| Rubbery-Policy | Yes | 30 | $25 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 22 | $18 |
| Altruistic-Elver-Ikebana | No | 21 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 01:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 08:42 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 09:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 08:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 07:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 05:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at 84.0%. Next is A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cma-single-of-the-year-2026?via=bro
$5.3K in total volume, with $98 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://cmaawards.com/.
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley), priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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