As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 65.5% in Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings? — $496 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 64.0% and 67.5%. It opened at 67.5% and last traded at 65.5%.
Yes is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66¢ | 65.5% | — | $496 | 100.0% |
| No | 34¢ | 34.5% | — | $496 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 64¢ / ask 67¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$496 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, Chipotle is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Chipotle’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.29 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chipotle reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.29 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Chipotle releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CMG/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 249 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | No | 249 | $86 |
| Prudent-Wheel | Yes | 200 | $131 |
| Grim-Gift-Fillet | No | 80 | $28 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 60 | $39 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 40 | $26 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 35 | $23 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $7 |
| Unique-Architecture | Yes | 8 | $5 |
| Impassioned-Monk | Yes | 7 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 05:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $136 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 AM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.0% | $22 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 10:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 04:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $13 |
| Oct 20, 07:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 65.5%. Next is No at 34.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cmg-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-28-2026-0pt29?via=bro
$496 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/CMG/earnings.
Yes, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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