As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 11.5% in CNN flies with Trump by..? — $19.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 11.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts.
Since September 28, 2026, October 31 has traded between 5.0% and 20.0%. It opened at 18.5% and last traded at 11.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 12.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 11.0% |
October 31 is favored at 11.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 12¢ | 11.5% | +0.5 pts | $12.3K | 63.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a journalist representing CNN is aboard an airplane carrying Donald Trump at the time of takeoff between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The journalist must be representing CNN at the time of the flight. Journalists representing other agencies at the time of the flight will not qualify, regardless of any previous work done for CNN. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 825 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spiffy-Enactment-Strength | No | 825 | $730 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 421 | $373 |
| Scarce-Footnote | Yes | 350 | $40 |
| Pale-Birdwatcher | Yes | 300 | $34 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 220 | $25 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 200 | $177 |
| Natural-Vacation | No | 196 | $174 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 170 | $20 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 145 | $17 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 120 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $742 |
| Oct 16, 04:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $8 |
| Oct 11, 06:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $81 |
| Oct 11, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $35 |
| Oct 11, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 11, 06:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 09, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $79 |
| Oct 08, 07:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $11 |
| Oct 08, 10:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $0 |
| Oct 08, 02:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/cnn-flies-with-trump-by?via=bro
$19.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 11.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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